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Pattern June Bugs

7D32C68B-A925-40FC-AEF1-EB74ED8CB45C.png When is the cool down starting?
 
Steam bath

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BHS1975 said:
Steam bath

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This disturbance in SW Pa becomes our main player for today and I see SPC has us in a mgnl. With pwats increasing and a fairly unstable airmass we should see an arc of storms for and move S through the state this evening. I'm concerned its east of 95 where the best instability and moisture will be. On a positive note the rain and storms associated with it this morning look more healthy than most models had. The 3k nam is all in
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SD said:
This disturbance in SW Pa becomes our main player for today and I see SPC has us in a mgnl. With pwats increasing and a fairly unstable airmass we should see an arc of storms for and move S through the state this evening. I'm concerned its east of 95 where the best instability and moisture will be. On a positive note the rain and storms associated with it this morning look more healthy than most models had. The 3k nam is all in
9dfeb2de7c99bfd17d04e93d2b0fd9e2.jpg


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You must really need some rain
 
SD said:
This disturbance in SW Pa becomes our main player for today and I see SPC has us in a mgnl. With pwats increasing and a fairly unstable airmass we should see an arc of storms for and move S through the state this evening. I'm concerned its east of 95 where the best instability and moisture will be. On a positive note the rain and storms associated with it this morning look more healthy than most models had. The 3k nam is all in
9dfeb2de7c99bfd17d04e93d2b0fd9e2.jpg


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Line already moving through. Gusty winds and plenty of rain. Seems earlier than the model predicted...by a significant amount.
 
Rain Cold said:
Line already moving through. Gusty winds and plenty of rain. Seems earlier than the model predicted...by a significant amount.
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I'm sitting at 94/75 listening to your thunder. Looks like a miss here. No models had this convection really. Looks like its along some type of 850mb boundary


Meh maybe I've got a chance. Nice outflow headed this way from the south. That should be interesting when it gets close to the bigger storms in wake

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SD said:
I'm sitting at 94/75 listening to your thunder. Looks like a miss here. No models had this convection really. Looks like its along some type of 850mb boundary

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Yeah it’s cooled off substantially here. I guess this will reduce the chance of the later scenario coming to fruition now. These are slow movers.
 
I would not be surprised to see a flash flood warning go up for SE Wake soon. Been getting pounded and the storms have back-built and look like they’re continuing to do so.
 
Rain Cold said:
Yeah it’s cooled off substantially here. I guess this will reduce the chance of the later scenario coming to fruition now. These are slow movers.
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Yeah I think any chance of storms tonight is doa. Up to 97/75 Hi 109 its amazing how damn hot it is out here on the sand of harnett county

Please come through outflow collision
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SD said:
Yeah I think any chance of storms tonight is doa. Up to 97/75 Hi 109 its amazing how damn hot it is out here on the sand of harnett county

Please come through outflow collision
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I think we’ll be saved by ground heat flux later.


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SD said:
I think we will be saved by october

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Haha! It’s muggy as a mofo now. Just nasty out there. Not as bad as where you are, but very hateable weather nonetheless. Radar looks like garbage rn. Don’t see any evidence of new convection firing. Going to have a few days of misery to get through from here.
 
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Rain Cold said:
Haha! It’s muggy as a mofo now. Just nasty out there. Not as bad as where you are, but very hateable weather nonetheless. Radar looks like garbage rn. Don’t see any evidence of new convection firing. Going to have a few days of misery to get through from here.
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When it droughts, it droughts!:(
Moving West! Day 19 with now .08 total precip!
 
Rain Cold said:
Haha! It’s muggy as a mofo now. Just nasty out there. Not as bad as where you are, but very hateable weather nonetheless. Radar looks like garbage rn. Don’t see any evidence of new convection firing. Going to have a few days of misery to get through from here.
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I just looked at the radars across Va and laughed to myself. Yeah I'm not looking forward to the next 3 days I really think 100+ is very doable Tuesday.

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Rain Cold said:
Only in SC does weather move west.
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Well yes we suck! Yesterday one missed to my North by about 3 miles, where they had flooding. It was moving W to E! Later , some developed to my S and drifted NW, missing me by about 5 miles! It was rough
 
SD said:
I just looked at the radars across Va and laughed to myself. Yeah I'm not looking forward to the next 3 days I really think 100+ is very doable Tuesday.

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HRRR and NAM sticking to its guns with a line forming over Wake county and then dying out quickly.


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Tarheel1 said:
Well yes we suck! Yesterday one missed to my North by about 3 miles, where they had flooding. It was moving W to E! Later , some developed to my S and drifted NW, missing me by about 5 miles! It was rough
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That sucks, dude. Hopefully, things will start to look better in after the next few days of big heat.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Well yes we suck! Yesterday one missed to my North by about 3 miles, where they had flooding. It was moving W to E! Later , some developed to my S and drifted NW, missing me by about 5 miles! It was rough
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I was in the same boat a few weeks ago. Hang in there and your turn will eventually come. We picked up another .53" over the weekend.
 
SD said:
We are mixing out I just walked out of work for a second and its not that bad

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Yeah it’s funny how quickly you get used to it. When it was low 80s in February with upper 50s dews it felt worse than now.
 
BHS1975 said:
Yeah it’s funny how quickly you get used to it. When it was low 80s in February with upper 50s dews it felt worse than now.
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Itll be awful again this evening when mixing stops and surface dewpoints recover into the mid 70s
 
Got off work early and went to hit some range balls. It’s tasty out there. Muggy and relentless heat
 
I'm buying on rain chances late tomorrow and especially Wednesday through Saturday.

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That storm last night had some of the loudest thunder I have heard in a while.
 
SD said:
I'm buying on rain chances late tomorrow and especially Wednesday through Saturday.

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As an outside worker, this heat sucks! I hope tomorrow is the hottest day of the entire summer! I’m buying the rain , if your selling. I need it any day, but especially Thursday. My forecast is up to 96 on Sunday and low 90s as far as I can see! The late start to spring and all the April snows, apparently, have no correlation to a cooler summer! :(
 
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