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Pattern June 2023 Thread

It's kind of funny, really.

Last week, it was looking like DFW would be seeing days upon days of 100*F+ weather and sunny/dry conditions with no end in sight. There was so much hype about record-breaking oppressive heat.

Fast forward to today and not only has DFW yet to hit 100*F+, but it's only been "seasonably warm" and there's a good chance it may not even happen at all with this "heat wave" before it ends on Wednesday. Plus, much of the period has been pretty cloudy due to persistent convective debris and/or post-outflow stratus clouds.

EDIT: The long-advertised heat wave did verify for San Antonio, Austin and (to a lesser extent) Houston though. And granted, the humidity was certainly imrpessive although actual temps fell well short of expectations.
 
Last edited:
It's kind of funny, really.

Last week, it was looking like DFW would be seeing days upon days of 100*F+ weather and sunny/dry conditions with no end in sight. There was so much hype about record-breaking oppressive heat.

Fast forward to today and not only has DFW yet to hit 100*F+, but it's only been "seasonably warm" and there's a good chance it may not even happen at all with this "heat wave" before it ends on Wednesday. Plus, much of the period has been pretty cloudy due to persistent convective debris and/or post-outflow stratus clouds.

EDIT: The long-advertised heat wave did verify for San Antonio, Austin and (to a lesser extent) Houston though. And granted, the humidity was certainly imrpessive although actual temps fell well short of expectations.
It's forecast to hit 100 both tomorrow and Tuesday in Dallas !
 
It's forecast to hit 100 both tomorrow and Tuesday in Dallas !

It's been forecasted to hit 100*F every day in Dallas since last weekend, until it didn't happen for the reasons mentioned in my post.

EDIT: The departure for June as of yesterday is only a whopping +0.1*F and the warmest days (last Sunday with a high of 99*F) only had a departure of +3.7*F
 
Wow! From KFFC< KATL

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 403 AM EDT, Sun Jun 18 2023

Key Messages:

Starting Monday, a wet pattern sets up over the forecast region
that will keep numerous to widespread rain showers and
thunderstorms in the forecast each day across the forecast area.

Overall, rain totals from 2.5 to 5 inches on average are forecast
through next Sunday, although locally higher amounts up to 7
inches may be possible.
 
Move if need be! I had to work and adjust this! It wouldn’t let me load original pic0EF285E6-7785-4F43-9CFC-4FE9709A76D7.jpeg
 
Key Messages:

- Cloudy and rainy weather is forecast this week, with rainfall
totals likely (> 90% chance) exceeding 2 inches by next weekend.

- Expect below average temperatures all week, with high temperatures
running 5 to 15 degrees below average.

Dreary Weather Tuesday through Next Weekend:

With an omega block over the Lower 48 and a nearly stationary upper
level trough over Alabama and Mississippi pumping moisture northward
from the Gulf, it will feel like we are living in a "southern
version, Seattle" this week. Though it is hard to imagine us not
seeing the sun for six straight days in late June, that is what a
good portion of the ensemble guidance is leaning towards. The mean
cloud cover from the 80 EPS and GEFS members keeps the region under
80 to 100 percent cloud cover through at least Sunday.
 
Gotta love how efficient this tropical airmass is at building up rainfall totals. So far I’ve had two downpours in the last couple hours, totally about 20 minutes of rain and already have had .6”
 
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