RDU made it above 75 today after three straight sub-75 degree highs. Pretty wild for July. 74 on 7/23 was a record low max temp, while 7/24's 75 and yesterday's 73 each came up a few degrees above the record.
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Pattern July Fry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
All aboard!
Brent
Member
Imagine that
I don't think people realize how easy this summer has been. The fact it took til July was almost over to get this kind of heat. I hate it
I don't think people realize how easy this summer has been. The fact it took til July was almost over to get this kind of heat. I hate it
Just lost power from the storms that rolled through. Lovely!
NBAcentel
Member
Tuesday is starting to look like the most impressive severe weather setup this year to me. Mixing summertime thermodynamics with springlike kinematics/wind energy. The moderate-high mostly unidirectional northwesterly flow with a MCV nearby to localize it increase low level shear, along with the extremely high PWATs, high DCAPE is a higher end/upper echelon damaging wind day precursor to me. If we go full MCS earlier on there’s gonna be a ton of damaging wind reports, if the weaken the MCS and roll in a MCV during peak heating, there’s is a legit case here for tornadic supercells especially near the MCV where low level flow is backed more. Also a non negligible hail threat as the EML gets sucked into the cyclonic flow 
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giddy up
Hope the ukmet verefies. That will feel refreshing late week, even if only for a day.
yeah those of you that get some cooler mornings and drier afternoons the second half of this week, enjoy it. back to the slop factory afterwards
Yep nothing says August like moisture flow from the equator into the region. At least the heat will likely be less than what we've seen but the flattening of the western ridge makes me wonder if we run a heat release out
Worried the mcs tonight screws up tomorrow but otherwise this setup is 100% giddy up
If RDU gets under a good storm on Tuesday, this could finish as the wettest July on record.
RDU has had THE wettest July 1-26 on record with 11.13” with records going back to 1887!
This first 26 days of the month is the 2nd wettest 1st 26 days of any met. summer month with only Aug of 1908 wetter (13.63”)!
Data source link:
Of course, nobody saw anything like this rapid rate of nearly balancing out occurring there.
Meanwhile, other areas like mine are still in drought though not as severe as earlier. But there are high hopes that the upcoming El Niño will take care of that.
Bump; JK / lucky guess as he caught a 5 inch plus storm and we all knew we where headed toward a above avg week.
YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST: July 16th
SD Bermuda Lawn will record 10.0+ double digit rainfall for the month of July 2026. Beleive he is sitting at 5.5 ish. He's gonna get 2-3 by this time next week. How? Rogue T storm over the weekend and the NE Gulf Gyro is gonna cough up another 1-2 from various dynamics next week.
Then all my forecasted call has to do to verify is get him under a strong T storm the last 5-6 days of July and whala!
This is the opposite of winter for RDU.
That's a pretty well developed mcs in Wisconsin should play out interesting.
12Z Model suite looks like eastern half NC best bet for storms tomorrow. Looks like we miss out Triad /Charlotte back west.
NoSnowATL
Member
Heat index of 118 is hot
If the storms today chase the cape down and west of the apps the remnant MCV will likely cruise across the carolinas in the 9-15z range tomorrow, I would be concerned we would have too much subsidence in it's wake to fire off storms but I guess we will see the HRRR and 3k didnt look bad at 18z
KRDU is bullish on the potential severe weather threat for tomorrow. They only mention one inhibiting factor, if the clouds hang around long enough in western sections of North Carolina, that may prevent the atmosphere from becoming destabilized and inhibit storm development. Tomorrow might be one of the best chances North Carolina has seen this year for a widespread severe weather outbreak.
HRRR and RRFS worlds apart awesome. RRFS wallops WNC and HRRR goes for GSO-CLT-RDU and down east. I feel like the latter is more likely but it may just end up being "place that had less junk in the morning"
at the same time the july sun is gonna be pretty good at recovering very quickly for places that do have junk
REFS is pretty similar to RRFS (go figure)
at the same time the july sun is gonna be pretty good at recovering very quickly for places that do have junk
REFS is pretty similar to RRFS (go figure)
I took yalls snow!!! Now I take yalls heat! 
kennedybb6
Member
Is this a late evening/night threat?
Thanks
Probably in the 4-8pm window for you
Famine to Feast! We like to get a few hundred degree weeks in , in between our thousand year floods! 
JHS
Member
GSP is not bullish at all as far as pops go, in my area. Only 20% and I hope it's right. If that one model is right, it's derecho time. The HRRR says no for the GSP area as of now.
Did not expect to see multiple ~60mph wind gusts at the ATL airport this evening from a not too impressive looking storm. Looks like some sort of wet microburst situation right over the airport. Flights are a mess
Through Friday. I think it may be covering this Thursday/Friday
I hate early morning convection and showers it makes the forecast so tough
Record setting stuff here! 
BrickTamland
Member
Looks like there is a chance of some storms around here again tomorrow if there aren't showers and clouds in the morning that hang around.