BEST NEWS I HAVE READ FROM NWX BMX IN A WHILE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LONG TERM...
/ISSUED AT 416AM CT/
MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK STILL LOOKS RATHER DRY, HOWEVER, IT LOOKS
LIKE WE WILL SEE SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN BY MID-WEEK! LOW LEVEL
RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAIN CENTRALIZED OVER THE AREA
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY RIDGING BEGINS SLIDING EASTWARD AND
A CLOSED UPPER LOW BEGINS PASSING THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND BECOME MORE LIKELY AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES
EASTWARD. SOME GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMES
NEUTRALLY TO NEGATIVELY TILTED BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY. CAPE VALUES
DURING THIS TIME RANGE FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. FAVORABLE DYNAMIC
FORCING, SURFACE INSTABILITY AND AN INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW COULD
ALLOW FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. MEANWHILE,
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER EXPECTS "DISTURBANCE 1" TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TOWARDS THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THIS DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO AID IN THE
INCREASE OF HUMIDITY AND SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AT THE END
OF THE WEAK. WILL NOT MENTION STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS IN THE HWO AT
THIS TIME AS THIS IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN
EYE ON THE PROGRESSION AND ORIENTATION OF THE UPPER LOW IN THE
COMING DAYS.