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Pattern Januworry

I counted roughly 25 out of 50 with a shade of grey minimum for MBY. And 25 whiffs. Atleast 11-13 Blue @ Purple.
 
West based -NAO, beautiful 50/50 low, and continued troughing in the Aleutians pushing a +PNA/-EPO = cold and winter storms in the south.

That pacific ridge is monstrous, that’s some February 2015 type pacific pattern type ish
Yeah that control run was stunning, but was it a mirage??
 
Yeah that control run was stunning, but was it a mirage??
Imo the most likely thing to be a mirage here is probably the -NAO like that, I could certainly see there being one but more the the thumb ridge type variety, which is weird to say that because typically it’s the pacific that’s the issue
 
What I worry about is that trof wanting to go back into the west by the end of the month.
It will. But exactly when and how long? Can we still get that transient jet dip into the east heading into February and beyond? Those are questions that will be answered as we progress into the second half of mid winter.
 
Once again where the snow is needed in SC midlands we are left out again lol wow
Keep the faith man. Our time is coming. I’m over being negative about our snow drought. Let us miss a storm or two to our North, then it’ll set the tone for a big one late month with an established favorable pattern. We aren’t going to hit while the pattern is changing. Anyways, pulling for everyone.
 
Crazy how the time period we have all been talking about for week or so now (15-25 ) is finally popping off in the models with snow outputs and an amazing pattern … that’s why you can’t freak out about anything past 240 be patient and most of the time in this pattern you’re rewarded

This is true. Plus I’ve seen the squirrels a little more active in their nest building. Those treehouses need to be stronger.


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Keep the faith man. Our time is coming. I’m over being negative about our snow drought. Let us miss a storm or two to our North, then it’ll set the tone for a big one late month with an established favorable pattern. We aren’t going to hit while the pattern is changing. Anyways, pulling for everyone.
Personally I think the midlands, pee dee, and I20 corridor especially will likely see an Ice Storm at some point before the end of the month. The pattern is too ripe for a good portion of the southeast to score here. I’m not sold on snow that far south but definitely think we are going to get some deep CADS going that will get everyone at least along and north of I20 an ice storm.
 
Personally I think the midlands, pee dee, and I20 corridor especially will likely see an Ice Storm at some point before the end of the month. The pattern is too ripe for a good portion of the southeast to score here. I’m not sold on snow that far south but definitely think we are going to get some deep CADS going that will get everyone at least along and north of I20 an ice storm.

I was thinking the same. There is a decent snow pack to the north. I don’t feel like any of the global are picking that up.


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