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Pattern January Thread - The Final Chapter

12z gfs wants to excite us days 8-10

sharpen the western ridge and we are in business
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The gulf system itself doesn't come up but you can see on the 500 MB maps it interact with the clipper a lot, that's certainly an interesting new development.
 
Fee-Fi-Fo-Fum, I'm the Northern Branch and I've come to crush you.
 
I'm getting more and more interested in days 7-10

just need a little sharper ridge
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850s suck. but we shall see. Looks like if precip breaks out after that frame, it'd be more icy in nature for many.
 
Very interested to see the gfs ensembles and what they show days 7-10

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Storm5 said:
I'm getting more and more interested in days 7-10

just need a little sharper ridge
b874158cea3bca75fac0886aa0d1ec37.jpg
916e77b56de2c6cb90ac131fdea1b687.jpg

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Click to expand...
You would think there would be a sharper ridge with that 1041mb high sitting there.

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Charlie...I agree...you sharpen that trough and we have a nice storm on our hands.




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Prediction: based on the GEFS mean 850's/qpf, you're going to like what some of the members show for 1/29-31. Mean qpf of note is significantly further north than prior GEFS runs for that period while mean 850's aren't warmer. I bet there are going to be some interesting members shown when they're released. That's the benefit of the mean trough being centered further west near the Mississippi Valley.
 
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Not just the ridge out west will help sharpen the ridge...the ridge out in the Atlantic also plays a role. It does bulge to the north and west making that trough dig deeper.
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ATLwxfan said:
Holy hell. That's the pendulum swinging back with a fury.


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I can't speak to you until you burn that damn sled. I'm sorry , let me know when you have video proof lol

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The 12z CMC has a sharper ridge. I think it's going to start to get interesting over the next few days.
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GaWx said:
Prediction: based on the GEFS mean 850's/qpf, you're going to like what some of the members show for 1/29-31. Mean qpf of note is significantly further north than prior GEFS runs for that period while mean 850's aren't warmer. I bet there are going to be some interesting members shown when they're released. That's the benefit of the mean trough being centered further west near the Mississippi Valley.
Click to expand...
wow it's a big improvement on the gefs days 6-12 . Very active

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