I have years of observation experience to know when the S/E is getting hammered then Alaska and Maine are generally not. And vice versa. It takes time to reverse the wide scale temps, not to mention to gather all the other ingredients for a winter storm south of DC, aka timing.
I should be viewed as a optimist to say that our chances greatly increase for something wintry mid Feb or after. Some are so impatient and want it first thing in February but IMO it's just not going to happen during the first ten days if not longer.
^ I bother posting because it is important to watch the snow growth or removal in areas other than our backyard, seeing how heavily the Carolina's are affected by CAD temperature. This also affects the track as it sends low pressure systems undercutting the snow-pack to the south and east.
Think of it like a hot bathtub. The water cools down over time as we slosh around in it before it goes down the drain and enters the underground pipes (Spring). Patience is virtue as it travels down the pipes. You can't fasten the process by sloshing the bathtub more you will just spray water on the floor (Rain).