Pattern January Joke

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

That’s a lot more moisture in southern MS/AL for the first storm.

Southernstream energy just trying to get going but can't phase with anything so it just rolls out in the end of things. Don't think it has any chance to phase.

 

[Ksnow33]

Both systems are northern stream trash on the GFS

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Both systems are northern stream trash on the GFS

Yeah, losing the second system for this area stings. Not dead yet, but it's looking very much like a colder version of the first system.

 

[trackersacker]

Tonight’s guidance so far is doing it’s best impression of January 2014 and I mean the clipper parade around the TPV, not so much the Deep South banger that came the end of that month.

 

[accu35]

UK has second storm

 

[accu35]

NC peeps

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

UKMET. Too warm here, of course. NC Banger. Edit to add the soundings for MBY between Atlanta and Athens. SNOW.

 

[Pilotwx]

To cold = Dry around these parts minus the mountains. Best snows are marginal on temps

 

[accu35]

UKMET. Too warm here, of course. NC Banger.
View attachment 182604View attachment 182606

if this were to verify, it could trend colder further SW. still have time to grab this one back being we are still 6/7 days away

 

[POWERSTROKE]

To cold = Dry around these parts minus the mountains. Best snows are marginal on temps

Yep never get excited for extreme cold. Rarely ever works out in our area for sure

 

[Tarheel1]

Yep never get excited for extreme cold. Rarely ever works out in our area for sure

Without the snowpack up here, it’s gonna be hard to achieve maximum advertised cold, as it’s hard enough to believe because it’s the GFS.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

if this were to verify, it could trend colder further SW. still have time to grab this one back being we are still 6/7 days away

I edited that post after looking at the soundings. The UKMET clown is wrong. N.Ga is snow. Verbatim, of course.

 

[accu35]

FWIW the 12z UK today was very dry with the second system, and now the 0z with a storm. Is this the beginning of a come back?

 

[TheBatman]

Here is UKmet accumulation map. Guys we got a week to pull this one in. A lot will change in the next couple days. I seen it mainly times where the models will lose the storm a couple days and bring it back.

 

[accu35]

I really hope this is a jump start back to life

 

[BIG FROSTY]

To cold = Dry around these parts minus the mountains. Best snows are marginal on temps

Most of the time, but there are exceptions. I’ve seen it snow all day. temperatures in the single digits. Can’t remember the exact amount. Just know it was over a foot.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

I’m looking for the euro to be a much better run tonight, for the second system going by what the UkMet spit out.
Not saying it goes all the way like the UK met, but I do expect it to give a bit of a nod.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[trackersacker]

Here is UKmet accumulation map. Guys we got a week to pull this one in. A lot will change in the next couple days. I seen it mainly times where the models will lose the storm a couple days and bring it back. View attachment 182608

Well you can’t hate that

 

[accu35]

I’m looking for the euro to be a much better run tonight, for the second system going by what the UkMet spit out.
Not saying it goes all the way like the UK met, but I do expect it to give a bit of a nod.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Doesn’t the Euro normally follow the UK?

 

[griteater]

Here is UKmet accumulation map. Guys we got a week to pull this one in. A lot will change in the next couple days. I seen it mainly times where the models will lose the storm a couple days and bring it back. View attachment 182608

UKMet has wave 1 passing thru as mainly a frontal passage, then it has a fairly weak wave 2 that drops in and slides west to east, but it does the important dirty work of moving the baroclinic zone and colder temperatures SE a bit…then a stronger wave 3 drops in from NDakota into the Deep South. Nice look if others could join in

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Doesn’t the Euro normally follow the UK?

It has sometimes in the past.

 

[iGRXY]

UK would be a very nice 4-6” event along and north of 85 and even 2-4” south of it. That is a 100% a win of a winter for this area after what we’ve dealt with the last 3 years

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Both models are very similar out to 120.

 

[trackersacker]

I knew we looked so January 2014 coded on the guidance tonight

 

[accu35]

Euro trying lol

 

[griteater]

Both models are very similar out to 120.
View attachment 182610View attachment 182611

Yeah it’s a similar evolution with wave 3 dropping NDakota to deep south

 

[iGRXY]

Definitely improved vs 18z no doubt

 

[griteater]

Yeah it’s a similar evolution with wave 3 dropping NDakota to deep south

View attachment 182614

 

[accu35]

Was the UK on to something?

 

[TheBatman]

Euro trying lol

It’s trying precipitation breaking out in Arkansas.

 

[iGRXY]

Congrats gulf coast but this is a solid look this far out tbh

 

[TheBatman]

View attachment 182617
Congrats gulf coast but this is a solid look this far out tbh

That’s a win boys and girls. I take it!!!

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Closing off this ULL likely goes off the rails. We'll see. In any case, unlike system #1, which is about DOA, we have time to work with here.

EDIT: Eating crow. Yum!

 

[TheBatman]

Closing of this ULL likely goes off the rails. We'll see. In any case, unlike system #1, which is about DOA, we have time to work with here.View attachment 182619

I’m all in for system 2. More to work with and got the time to make it happen.

 

[TheBatman]

If this storm happens we make the forum name. “2017 (2026) storm comeback redux!”

 

[accu35]

My pivot map is stuck on hr 138 anyone have the total?

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Wake up sleepy heads and celebrate with us

Of course, Pivotal is stuck at 138. I need coffee.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

View attachment 182617
Congrats gulf coast but this is a solid look this far out tbh

It’s BINGO! time!!! Euro with the nod toward the UkMet!

 

[trackersacker]

View attachment 182612View attachment 182613I knew we looked so January 2014 coded on the guidance tonight

 

[accu35]

Of course, Pivotal is stuck at 138. I need coffee.

It would get stuck right before show time lol