trackersacker
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LAWWWDDD
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Pattern January Joke
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NBAcentel
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Heading back the right way here on the icon. Running out of time though 
iwantsouthernsnow123
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ULL is tilting negative wayy too early and really in an unfavorable spot here on GFS 0z. Folding to Euro this run.
For the 1st system, the old squeeze play in effect for areas west of the Apps...low level moisture gets trapped west of the mountains and gets squeezed out by increasingly cold temps aloft. Pretty routine setup for generating flurries and snow showers for Tennessee and northern Alabama and Georgia but with extra cold temps aloft probably a bit more coverage and duration.
trackersacker
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Tonight we will be hanging the GFS from a tree and letting the vultures pick it apart
iwantsouthernsnow123
Member
Southernstream energy just trying to get going but can't phase with anything so it just rolls out in the end of things. Don't think it has any chance to phase.
Yeah, losing the second system for this area stings. Not dead yet, but it's looking very much like a colder version of the first system.
trackersacker
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Tonight’s guidance so far is doing it’s best impression of January 2014 and I mean the clipper parade around the TPV, not so much the Deep South banger that came the end of that month.
UKMET. Too warm here, of course. NC Banger. Edit to add the soundings for MBY between Atlanta and Athens. SNOW. ![soundings-[33.7,-84.02]-ukmo_global-prateptype_ukmo-imp-conus-2026011200-156.png](https://southernwx.nyc3.digitaloceanspaces.com/data/attachments/182/182620-56c07b1aedb1f1c5896acbc87e378bf1.jpg "soundings-[33.7,-84.02]-ukmo_global-prateptype_ukmo-imp-conus-2026011200-156.png")
Last edited:
Pilotwx
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To cold = Dry around these parts minus the mountains. Best snows are marginal on temps
accu35
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if this were to verify, it could trend colder further SW. still have time to grab this one back being we are still 6/7 days away
Yep never get excited for extreme cold. Rarely ever works out in our area for sure
Without the snowpack up here, it’s gonna be hard to achieve maximum advertised cold, as it’s hard enough to believe because it’s the GFS.
I edited that post after looking at the soundings. The UKMET clown is wrong. N.Ga is snow. Verbatim, of course.
Here is UKmet accumulation map. Guys we got a week to pull this one in. A lot will change in the next couple days. I seen it mainly times where the models will lose the storm a couple days and bring it back. 
accu35
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Wow!!
Most of the time, but there are exceptions. I’ve seen it snow all day. temperatures in the single digits. Can’t remember the exact amount. Just know it was over a foot.
I’m looking for the euro to be a much better run tonight, for the second system going by what the UkMet spit out.
Not saying it goes all the way like the UK met, but I do expect it to give a bit of a nod.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Not saying it goes all the way like the UK met, but I do expect it to give a bit of a nod.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
trackersacker
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Well you can’t hate that
accu35
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Doesn’t the Euro normally follow the UK?
UKMet has wave 1 passing thru as mainly a frontal passage, then it has a fairly weak wave 2 that drops in and slides west to east, but it does the important dirty work of moving the baroclinic zone and colder temperatures SE a bit…then a stronger wave 3 drops in from NDakota into the Deep South. Nice look if others could join in
It has sometimes in the past.
iGRXY
Member
UK would be a very nice 4-6” event along and north of 85 and even 2-4” south of it. That is a 100% a win of a winter for this area after what we’ve dealt with the last 3 years
Both models are very similar out to 120.
trackersacker
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I knew we looked so January 2014 coded on the guidance tonight
iGRXY
Member
Definitely improved vs 18z no doubt
It’s trying precipitation breaking out in Arkansas.
iGRXY
Member
Congrats gulf coast but this is a solid look this far out tbh
That’s a win boys and girls. I take it!!!
Closing off this ULL likely goes off the rails. We'll see. In any case, unlike system #1, which is about DOA, we have time to work with here.
EDIT: Eating crow. Yum!
EDIT: Eating crow. Yum!