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Pattern January Joke

this EPS run starting to show something here storm wise, the trough around SE Canada vortex is trending stronger as well, with a batch of energy traversing the central U.S., some ice events but a noticeable increase on the snow mean. Something to watch here 👀IMG_1048.jpegIMG_1050.gifIMG_1047.gifIMG_1053.jpeg
 
Natural gas is now up a whopping 10% due to the models’ much colder late Dec and now early Jan vs what last week’s models showed! If this holds, it would easily be the strongest single day for NG since at least August. Keep in mind that NG’s strongest days are usually when the E US two week forecast is looking colder than the prior day:

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imo the MJO and EAMT are likely cancelling eachother out in the pacific. What’s keep us from spiking a ridge or just flooding the continent with mild pacific air is the big -NAO. It’s really the saving grace in shifting everything south and west. The flow is slowing considerably and we are quickly deepening the trough over the northeast and northern Atlantic. At worst we will be cold, but there’s already a signal of some kind of CAD ice potential (which is what I’d lean to without the pacific being the best)
 
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