Pattern January Joke

[griteater]

Here is the Euro run...I gotta think there are limitations on how far NW this can go. This is all northern stream, moving at a steady pace (not slow). We're not looking at some big stream phasing situation. The wave would need to slow down and really consolidate a lot of vorticity in the base of the trough, and tilt positive to neutral to negative fairly quickly. Think something like the UKMet is possible, but not thinking this can go wildly NW. No one knows at this juncture, but I think the weaker coastal scraper is just as likely as something well inland

 

[accu35]

Starting tomorrow we should be getting into the short range models for the weekend storm. Let’s hope these trends can continue and increase our chances. Goodnight fam

 

[Tsappfrog20]

Some great trends tonight let’s see if we can keep them coming! Night shift my time is up 7am comes early!


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[jrips27]

EPS panels. Momentum folks! We can do this

 

[dsaur]

But not yet!
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Well, I'm on a small island of snow surrounded by miles and miles of nothing, and you get a thumping. What an odd map.

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

EPS panels. Momentum folks! We can do this
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Not a bad set of members, do you have the EPS mean for the SE?


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[Arcc]

EPS panels. Momentum folks! We can do this
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Counting 23 or so with the signal. Definitely the highest yet.

 

[jrips27]

Not a bad set of members, do you have the EPS mean for the SE?


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Nothing crazy but it was a slight improvement

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Nothing crazy but it was a slight improvement
View attachment 183186

Thanks, yeah it was skewed slightly by some of the heavier members, but the footprint still looks good. We’re starting to get in the wheelhouse of the Euro/UKMET, so it will be interesting to see how things play out with this setup.


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[NorthHillsWx]

Per GEFS and EPS, I’d say east of I-85 is solidly in the game Sunday. I really like where the triangle sits at this stage. There is still wiggle room for central NC so we won’t be relying on heavy north or south trends. Still 5 days out but seeing the ensembles cooking what the ops put out hasn’t happened with any storms yet this year especially inside day 5. Plenty of time for unhappy trends but man what a pretty overnight suite of model runs

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

WPC official discussion from 1:52 am for the weekend system


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