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Pattern January Joke

Long time no see! But man oh man I had to come back with this potential on the board for my homeland! Really is shades of December 2017 except you all have 100+ hours to trend it even better.

This has all the markings of a wicked storm for a lot of people in the southeast. Maybe even one of the more memorable storms In a long time.

This can easily trend into a big big dog for some and even get coastal communities involved.

The energy, the tilt, the trend inside 150 hours. It’s all what you want to see. Biggest thing that makes me believe is the injection of cold air at the start. You have cold air already in place and that’s what you truly need to get a widespread memorable storms In across the SE.
 
Long time no see! But man oh man I had to come back with this potential on the board for my homeland! Really is shades of December 2017 except you all have 100+ hours to trend it even better.

This has all the markings of a wicked storm for a lot of people in the southeast. Maybe even one of the more memorable storms In a long time.

This can easily trend into a big big dog for some and even get coastal communities involved.

The energy, the tilt, the trend inside 150 hours. It’s all what you want to see. Biggest thing that makes me believe is the injection of cold air at the start. You have cold air already in place and that’s what you truly need to get a widespread memorable storms In across the SE.
NICKY B! Good to see you’re still alive, family 🙏🏽
 
Long time no see! But man oh man I had to come back with this potential on the board for my homeland! Really is shades of December 2017 except you all have 100+ hours to trend it even better.

This has all the markings of a wicked storm for a lot of people in the southeast. Maybe even one of the more memorable storms In a long time.

This can easily trend into a big big dog for some and even get coastal communities involved.

The energy, the tilt, the trend inside 150 hours. It’s all what you want to see. Biggest thing that makes me believe is the injection of cold air at the start. You have cold air already in place and that’s what you truly need to get a widespread memorable storms In across the SE.
It feels like forever since we've send tends of potential textbooks southern stream setup
 
No this is a good trend for Western sections. Primarily because you don't want to trend too amped too soon otherwise you'll get ridged out. Perfect placement right now imo
I am afraid this isn’t going to work for the Alabama people or anyone west of the apps
 
Keep tilting and moving that energy SW for now. We can worry about those consequences later. Plenty of time for the precip shield to expand later. Starting to look like less of a primary coastal setup after those 00z runs which is good for western sections (for now). Keep this up and the warm nose is going to be our next worry/topic of interest
 
Thing thing is a few ticks away from a big dawg. Not even scraping at the pot anymore. We are scraping for a +13000 sports betting ticket that’s relying on the last leg, on 4 more assists from lamelo ball, at halftime pending 2 quarters
In your opinion what is the ceiling for this type of event?
 
Starting to see the warm air advection at 850-700mb show up as this thing slows. That by itself typically pushes up Nw zones some View attachment 183172View attachment 183173
It's nice to see the Western Piedmont in the deep cold 700/850s, gives us a lot a wiggle room for NW trends without the warm nose becoming an issue.

Though personally I'd take a classic snow-to-mix NC storm at this point.
 
Considering there’s still 4.5 days to go, I’d be surprised based on a combo of climo that says that snow in the deep SE is pretty rare and model biases/trends when no -NAO if the common NW trend doesn’t take my and other deep SE areas out of snow within a few runs. But you never know, which makes these discussions so fascinating.

But not yet!
IMG_7053.png
 
Just keep in mind folks that the common NW “trend” of the models is in reality an unwinding as they closer to the event of a SE bias/cold bias they tend to have.
 
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