Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[iGRXY]

What’s your temp/dp?

39/30 currently

 

[drfranklin]

just drove home from Caine Halter YMCA
definite rain/snow mix
38.6
my elevation is right at 1000 feet, 2 miles north of I-85 in city limits of Greenville

 

[DadOfJax]

This is going to bust big for western NC....total separation of precipitation fields. Supposed to get 2-4” tonight...moisture is dying to the south of Asheville and west. Looks like just a backend deal for a couple of hours tomm. Bummer!

 

[DadOfJax]

The last frame you can see that deform band about to go to town

View attachment 64110

Looks absolutely terrible for SW NC....

 

[DadOfJax]

I look for the NWS to start dropping the WSW’s from SW heading NE pretty soon

 

[KyloG]

Clearly the 3km NAM is wrong. The 0z HRRR looks like current radar. Not saying this translates to more snow/sleet or anything.

 

[Oconeexman]

All rain now
37/35

 

[DadOfJax]

Clearly the 3km NAM is wrong. The 0z HRRR looks like current radar. Not saying this translates to more snow/sleet or anything.

View attachment 64111View attachment 64112

Yep. Dry slot incoming for the mountains.

 

[packfan98]

I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulate, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Maybe get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

36.9/31 Precip-unknown ?

 

[DadOfJax]

I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulat, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Amber get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.

I’m thinking that’s going to be the story for most in NC. Radar trends are definitely not good.

 

[Metwannabe]

I’m not feeling too optimistic. Even though I’m under a winter storm warning, I can see a path to end up with almost nothing to show for it. Too much warm nose on the initial feed with maybe a burst of snow that doesn’t accumulate, dry slot/ drizzle in the middle, and the deform band fizzles so that I see light snow for a couple of hours that doesn’t accumulate much. Maybe get a heavy dusting to a 1/2” a couple of times. I really hope this doesn’t happen, but I’d give it a 50% chance of happening.

I think you are in a great spot, front end stuff and nice deform band too... you will be golden

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

I’m thinking that’s going to be the story for most in NC. Radar trends are definitely not good.

We know what you think dude.

 

[Steven_1974]

Nothing has even really started in NC and now people are saying bust? Come on!

 

[Stormlover]

Huge flakes now just nw of Huntsville

 

[DadOfJax]

We know what you think dude.

Good deal....doesn’t mean I will stop conversing about it.

 

[DadOfJax]

Huge flakes now just nw of Huntsville

Reel it in back home!

 

[Jessy89]

Digital learning day for Pickens county sc tomorrow. I don’t think we are getting anything much snow wise we will see maybe a dusting


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[SD]

Not going to lie The CAE radar looks way more impressive than expected right now and if that stuff keeps coming north we will have something here by midnight

 

[DadOfJax]

Nothing has even really started in NC and now people are saying bust? Come on!

The HRRR shows a very grim picture for most of western NC...and radar trends are confirming it.