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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Hour 9, a small hole persists, but most areas around the hole are at a solid 1-2 inches of snow.

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Backside of that precip is closing in fast. Not sure how the RAP and HRRR show snow around here until 1:00 AM.
 
Honestly I always thought people were exaggerating about the "RDU Snow Hole", but it's starting to look like it really exists. Snowing to their east, south, and west. I still think everyone in the RDU area see snow, but there's clearly going to be a snow min in that area based on current obs. and HRRR.
 
Wasn't it Eric who thought Burlington would be the furthest west more than likely? I know I read it here, quite possible I read several folks say it.
I said that. Looks like I was off by about 20 miles. Snowing in east Greenboro.
 
Wasn't it Eric who thought Burlington would be the furthest west more than likely? I know I read it here, quite possible I read several folks say it.

I said Greensboro-Charlotte with the highest totals centered near US-1 or I-95. This isn't going to verify due to the snow hole that developed while the southwestern piedmont and southern Sandhills will probably perform about to what I expected. Already over 3" in Rockingham and Raeford
 
Wonder if it will be snowing before 11?

This is literally the biggest screw job in history... If we actually weren't this dry in the low-levels we would have probably verified the 4-8" I expected given what has fallen in the southwestern piedmont where many are getting close to 3-4" already. There's honestly not a whole lot I can do about this, it's virtually impossible to see these mesoscale-microscale details more than several hours out... At least I captured the western edge of the precipitation shield
 
This is literally the biggest screw job in history... If we actually weren't this dry in the low-levels we would have probably verified the 4-8" I expected given what has fallen in the southwestern piedmont where many are getting close to 3-4" already. There's honestly not a whole lot I can do about this, it's virtually impossible to see these mesoscale-microscale details more than several hours out...
So is Raleigh gonna see anything....
 
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