Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[Snowflowxxl]

I agree with Shawn, that map is way over done. There's not going to be a wide swath of 2-5" of snow, there's no way. The snow will not be coming from a low from the GOM.

Didn't you say that kinda the same thing about the threat from the 2017 December threat? Your call was for like a half inch for Atlanta?

 

[Stormlover]

Euro won't be long...hope we can ditch that 18z edit: doesn't look good at all

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I agree this will be a good storm for many on the board, questionable areas continues to be east of the apps, only thing that could throw more accumulation are way is more mesoscale factors, if we get Frontogenesis like the NAM is showing there will be a heavy burst somewhere east of the apps due to column cooling and don’t forget that lee trough/enhancement but I’m keeping expectations low, areas west should be happy, y’all really deserve this ! At this point 1 inch of snow is a big win

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Lol at the Euro! Model Madness!

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

THIS EURO RUN WAS DOWN RIGHT DEPRESSING

 

[Stormlover]

the euro is my biggest concern for another horrible run...but sticking to the nam and sref from now on..like usual, it will be a nowcast thing for many as it is very dynamic

 

[deltadog03]

Wow euro has fully de-railed. Lol

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Looking at all the models tonight:

 

[Stormlover]

Wow euro has fully de-railed. Lol

will be something if the fv3 kicks it's butt

 

[Webberweather53]

Euro sped up the front a little over NC putting more precip in the daytime, that aint it chief lol. All rain east of the mountains. Thank u, next.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[Webberweather53]

Welp! Looks like it's time to head over to the Wambulence thread!

 

[deltadog03]

Euro sped up the front a little over NC putting more precip in the daytime, that aint it chief lol. All rain east of the mountains. Thank u, next.

Like I don’t know what to say. I mean euro wth. Lol. Is it right tho?.

 

[Parker]

Looking at all the models tonight:
View attachment 13724

That gif is hilarious and so perfect for what has gone down tonight. Good luck with this one. I think I’ll just sit back and watch and hope that I get snow

 

[Webberweather53]

Like I don’t know what to say. I mean euro wth. Lol. Is it right tho?.

Need a slower front to allow more precip to get back to the cooler side of the boundary and provide better diurnal timing esp for places like NC and parts of lower MS valley.

 

[Webberweather53]

It's crazy how much the models for both storms have completed turn on us in just one or 2 major runs inside like 72 hours from either event. Oof

 

[RollTide18]

Rundown:

Euro = Bad
ICON = Bad
CMC = Bad
GFS = Doable
GEFS = Great
NAM = Great