Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[Parker]

Woah!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Definitely a thunder snow sounding to me

 

[Stormlover]

hmm.. from someone on facebook that has done meteorology in the service:
Here is a quick analysis of the current water vapor satellite shot. All of the players that could bring snow to the south are visible. Those east of AR need that vorticity lobe over Oklahoma to arrive on schedule early a.m. Any delay in this will delay onset of snow. This feature will bring the forcing that is going to be necessary in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. Without this, the dendritic growth zone likely fails overall in production.
A jet streak down at 500mb is seen over Texas with a small maximum which also will aid in lift if it arrives on time as well.
All of this has to Merry up at the right time for good enough snow production to overcome melting affects of very warm ground (ground temps in the mid 50s). That will cut totals ..but by how much? Will find out tomorrow.

 

[Arcc]

Woah!!

View attachment 14195

Boy would I be ill. Two to five miles from three inches while I'd get a spittle. Haha

 

[weatherguy]

My last call:

 

[Snowfan]

FFC:

.UPDATE...
Current forecast is on track tonight as clouds push across the
area and light rain is entering northwest Georgia. Have only made
minor tweaks to hourly temperatures and sky cover at this time.
Have not made any changes to the Winter Weather Advisory or Watch
at this time, as we will continue to monitor incoming model data.
Updated forecasts issued shortly.

 

[AL/TN Line]

Huntsville updated at 8:57...... kept winter storm warning and 1-3 inches of snow.

 

[Metwannabe]

Should be interesting tomorrow evening.... let's see if any of these 3" lollipops verify

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol looks like trying to find where you will get a downburst/heavy t-storm In the summer

 

[Weatherlover92]

Update
925mb temps

850mb temps

Current Surface

 

[Stormdoc]

Should be interesting tomorrow evening.... let's see if any of these 3" lollipops verify

Yeah good to see a model other than just the FV3 give central NC a shot at more than token flurries. These convective shots are quite unpredictable but fun if you’re lucky enough to be underneath it.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

RGEM is up for GA. Has the west metro over an inch for the first time.

 

[Metwannabe]

Yeah good to see a model other than just the FV3 give central NC a shot at more than token flurries. These convective shots are quite unpredictable but fun if you’re lucky enough to be underneath it.

Let's just hope one of us on here who really love this stuff is one of the lucky one's Lol

 

[Weatherlover92]

00z RGEM - Holding about steady to 18z, it's even a little bit slower on the backend vs 18z.

 

[Metwannabe]

RGEM all rain for NC except for mountains, stinks but seems about right considering those mountains will probably delay CAA

 

[Stormlover]

This is an official prediction just out...holding more snow in places the models don't show it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

hrrr looks horrible aswell for nc, nam is probably overdone/to cold

 

[SASQUATCH]

Most everybody west of the apps, we need this system to have PTSD...

P-IVOT
T-ILT
S-LOW
D-IG

 

[Kylo]

18z Euro. Let’s see how it verifies

 

[Storm5]

Lol the short range models look good now and the gfs goes to s###


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