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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

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Sheesh at that updraft helicity. No doubt an EF3 or two if those supercells verify.
 
3km actually gives some parts of Atlanta heavy snow towards the end at hour 16. Interestng.

00z NAM is illustrating that worst case scenario from the snow uncertainty graphic FFC put together earlier today. This was one of their concerns that ATL south and west could get hammered from a band just like this.
 
I just got to Clinton, MS. I may get very little sleep tonight, since the action gets going after 1 am. Temp is about 55 out here and breezy. No precip yet.

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I suppose it's Battle stations funny so far most all recent model runs have done an abrupt 180 and trended up for some pretty decent areas of impact. We got the RAP, 12KNAM, 3KNAM, HRRR, WRF-AR, and WRF-NM both appear to on the uptick as well, which is nice but at sometime its radar and SPC watching now too
 
The same ensemble of models that said 100% chance of at least an inch for Huntsville last night, and an average of 3.03 inches, now says .68 of an inch of snowfall on average here. Yeah, I"m not happy.
 
The same ensemble of models that said 100% chance of at least an inch for Huntsville last night, and an average of 3.03 inches, now says .68 of an inch of snowfall on average here. Yeah, I"m not happy.
We tried to tell you that the SREF was unreliable. Hope it works out for you.
 
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