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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

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I'll take this and run with it
 
ATLwxfan said:
His twitter handle tells me all I need to know. We are model to model, hi res vs global, forecast vs nowcast at this point. I’m not sure who’s opinion to trust.


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He is likely a NWS employee using the classic "cranky" deal like in the WWE when someone made a crankyvince account and posted relevant info/mumblings from behind the scenes during shows.

I've read the guy's stuff over the years and he's pretty darn smart.
 
Cold looks way behind looking at current radar and temp obs. I have not compared to model output though. Guessing it will speed up as it goes more neutral.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
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His thoughts are not far from my own. Although, I'm not sure about East AL being too warm, but it could be. I wouldn't be surprised to see the heavier accumulations reach into Talladega county, but beyond that is iffy.

Firstly, it's possible the cold air gets "hung up" on the hills and mountains to the east of Talladega county. That hurts Cleburne, Clay, Randolph, Coosa and Tallapoosa counties. Seen that before in these types of setups.

Secondly, don't be surprised to see moisture dry up as it hits these same areas. Once again, seen it before.

All that said, if enough cold air leaches down the valleys, and the moisture doesn't dry up, I could see a secondary max of snow in these very same areas. I think the GFS shows this best case.
 
I’ll be sitting up in Bluff Park in Hoover off of Tyler road. Roughly 900 feet in elevation to be exact. They seem to always do okay up there, but this will be my first storm in this location. Crashing at my buddies house. I feel pretty good sitting in southern Jefferson and have some elevation on my side.
 
Parker said:
I’ll be sitting up in Bluff Park in Hoover off of Tyler road. Roughly 900 feet in elevation to be exact. They seem to always do okay up there, but this will be my first storm in this location. Crashing at my buddies house. I feel pretty good sitting in southern Jefferson and have some elevation on my side.
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Always a good spot around here. I'm a few doors down. I'm at around 1020 here.
HRR looks shunted south on reflectivity. Looks like southern is cutting off more precip to northern areas.
 
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