Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[TheBatman]

Just observing here. So I gather this is the first run in a long time that doesn't bring the goods?

Yes, You could have 100 good runs and 1 bad run. Most people is going to focus on the bad run.

??

 

[Jacques]

Still wondering if models are not grasping this arctic air. It's cold, but shallow......

 

[Ken1]

Nashville? Looks like nothing to me. Thoughts?

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

MIGHTY WARM

 

[Arjen Robben]

I think the 3KM has a low precip bias that has been mentioned many times. Toss it and go with the 12km until we get the HRRR in range.

When does HRRR. Get into range ?

 

[Stormlover]

Nashville? Looks like nothing to me. Thoughts?

sref says about 3 inches

 

[Stormlover]

When does HRRR. Get into range ?

it's in range..at least the 36 hour extended one...this is from a little while ago, may be new runs since.

 

[DustinWx]

it's in range..at least the 36 hour extended one...this is from a little while ago, may be new runs since.View attachment 13950

Hrrr isn’t accurate at 36 hours

 

[SASQUATCH]

Yes, You could have 100 good runs and 1 bad run. Most people is going to focus on the bad run.

We is what we is! . I would not sweat this right now. If 3K shows this in 12 hrs.....oh !


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[PEA_RIDGE]

When does HRRR. Get into range ?

18 HRS IS BEST FOR THE HRRR

 

[Stormlover]

Hrrr isn’t accurate at 36 hours

I never said if it was or wasn't..just showing it

 

[Stormlover]

More than 50/50 chance of 2 plus in almost down to birmingham

 

[Bama Ravens]

 

[Bama Ravens]

great GFS run for north and central AL.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

 

[Snowflowxxl]

GFS been steady here lately! Good hit once again!

 

[deltadog03]

Take a look at this. Notice the tilt of the moisture axis.

 

[Storm5]

GFS for the win

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[Stormlover]

 

[Bama Ravens]

Accumulations through 42 hours.