Semi-reverse psychology. Plus, better to not expect anything and be suprised than vice-versa. But for real, I don't expect enough snow to cover the ground here. I think the lee side effect will be in place with this; the dense cold air will have a tough time spilling over the mnts into this area and points east.
Then I'll ship you some 78º rain next week ...Thanks but no thanks, had my share of that this year.... enjoy it, in fact be selfish and keep all of it for yourself
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That circled area (especially the southern part) gets shafted alot when just to their north scores. Maybe their luck will change this time.
It will remain uncertain until the precip. is on radar.
Did you watch the FCC video? They said they may have increase snow amounts a little further south due to what some of the models are showing.
Actually, FCC is calling for 1-2" of snow for Forsyth County.
I think that's central Ala too..by the dept of transportation Aldot
It appears there will be a tight gradient from Cherokee to Forsyth, or could be anyway (based on everything I've seen). I doubt Forsyth gets 1-2", something like a heavy dusting to perhaps nearing an inch seems more attainable.
The hrrr is extremely untrustworthy the further you get from hour zero. I think it’s best from about 6 hours or less. Many of us have hung our hopes on the hrrr before only to have things slowly correct to other guidance one run at a time. Typically, you want to use a blend of the best models, especially the hi-res nam.I feel pretty sure the GFS has been under doing the moisture recently after comparing HRRR to GFS thru 12am Tuesday.
Widespread 2" snow amounts starting to enter AL on the HRRR is a good sign:
I know at 18 hours out it has always been the best model here in N. AL for snow. Perhaps it's not as good at 36 hours out, but it also might be picking up on some small mesoscale features which the other models haven't picked up yet.
Yes got a notification from ALDOT they were treating bridges in Birmingham and surrounding counties now and would start treating roads tomorrow
