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Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

The NWS lowered forecast ice accrual amounts to .38 inches earlier this morning from the .46 they had at the beginning of the storm. That is still enough to cause trouble but it is a step in the right direction to lessen the likelihood of power outages. The dry dewpoints near the surface have been hard to overcome and have lessened the QPF from this storm.
 
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Yes, heaviest yet. Mega sleet. Will prob be some liquid mixed in with the heaviest stuff bc the water droplets are bigger and have a tougher time freezing though. We will see!

But still no signs of liquid mixing in here yet.
I don’t think I can spike the football just yet, but my sleet accumulation forecast is looking pretty good right now, haha
 
With the look on radar, the upstate of SC into the Piedmont of NC is about to get multiple inches of sleet. Some areas still reporting some snow.

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1/2” Mooresville NC…. I’d like about 3-4” Sleet please


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It’s been a long time since I’ve seen winter precip at 21 degrees here. In fact, I’m not sure I ever have in the last 30 years.

We’ve done 23/24 several times, but not 21.
I'm 55 and can't remember seeing any precip at 23 deg in Oconee. Fzr starting to mix back into sleet in Southern oconee

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You think we stay below freezing for the duration? Hrrr has that now. NWS mentions us going above freezing.

Alan Huffman says that he believes the triangle will stay below freezing. He says if it changes over it will only be at the very very end.


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Alan Huffman says that he believes the triangle will stay below freezing. He says if it changes over it will only be at the very very end.


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I'm afaid that's what might take out the power. It may not add to the ice accrual that much with heavy rates and rising temps? In any case, I'm going to be ready when it comes through.
 
You think we stay below freezing for the duration? Hrrr has that now. NWS mentions us going above freezing.
HRRR and RRFS has me to you and everyone in between below freezing for the duration. Including the "squall" line. Seeing how stout this CAD is, I tend to believe we stay below freezing
 
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