Wintry January 23rd-27th 2026

[EV/WS]

Smart people talking about 1988. From Webbers website ..

 

[Jpsoc16]

Looks like living ITP Atlanta is the absolute worst spot to be in for this January. We barely missed last weekend's storm and appear to be staring at another close call, and if we do see winter weather, it will be a major blackout ice storm. Fun times!

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Great to see the southward trend on the Euro, but we want this to continue. No only do we need several more jumps with the press we need breathing room. Also need to make sure the GFS holds serve and maybe trends colder too. The strength of the highs are going to be huge here to keep the warm nose at bay. Keep the high strong and the wave south and fairly weak.

 

[Snowfan]

Pretty funny. Get on Twitter and the north crew is explaining why that euro run indicates that the southern solution is on life support

It would shift to Penscola and they will say it will shift to Ohio.

 

[ChrisAMB]

That’s what, 8 days later? Wow.

This and what's possibly coming the week after remind me of December 2010. We had snow and ice covering the yard for 3 weeks after those two storms.

 

[accu35]

If the Euro keeps trending south then it will put me in the ice risk like the gfs has me.

 

[FallsLake]

Pretty apparent that there is going to be a winter storm in the southern US. Big question is who gets the snow and who gets the ice. Somebody has got to take the ice. It'll be fun this week tracking ptype specifics.

 

[Branch]

I’ve seen the NW suburbs of ATL get blanked with cold rain in CAD events while the SE side get ice. Cobb and points NW get nothing while Dekalb and down into Fulton get ice.

 

[KyloG]

Nice to see this…PV press holding

 

[griteater]

Last 2 Weathernext runs. Small changes here. A bit more cold air damming this run. I'd certainly like to see the AI's trend more south, more west to east slider look. Long way to go

 

[UNCSC]

Pretty funny. Get on Twitter and the north crew is explaining why that euro run indicates that the southern solution is on life support

Are they serious though, every model trended south on 12z

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Are they serious though, every model trended south on 12z

Yes go look at BAM

 

[griteater]

Weathernext surface temperatures

 

[LukeBarrette]

Ignore BAM please, they are good Mets but sometimes can get feisty in one way or the other

 

[Rain Cold]

Yeah, we have a long way to go. Best thing to do is to stay in the snow game right now, or as close to it as possible. But this could be one that gets talked about for a very long time. A major, extremely cold hi qpf winter storm. Like Webber said, you don't see this very often these days.

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

Weathernext surface temperatures

View attachment 185748

Do you have the snowfall maps on weathenext?

 

[bouncycorn]

Can Atlanta score here?

if you call either ZR or cold rain 'scoring', then yes.

In terms of snow? Unlikely to get substantial snow in ATL.

 

[iwantsouthernsnow123]

if you call either ZR or cold rain 'scoring', then yes.

In terms of snow? Unlikely to get substantial snow in ATL.

What's your thoughts on further NE, like toccoa generally?

 

[LithiaWx]

if you call either ZR or cold rain 'scoring', then yes.

In terms of snow? Unlikely to get substantial snow in ATL.

I'll take a Sleetier solution please. wishing

 

[diamonddave]

At this point, it IS Possible for it to go more suppressed, but I wouldn't expect it to suppress all the way into the gulf. 'Most suppressed' scenario IMO is still snowy/icy for many. just with the heaviest snow falling along i20 instead of i40.

That’s what I’d prefer. The ice storm in Augusta in 2014 crippled this area for days, that corridor from here to Columbia was devastated. Don’t need that again after we got hammered by Helene.

 

[bouncycorn]

What's your thoughts on further NE, like toccoa generally?

Far Northeast Georgia usually ends up with snow with this kind of setup

 

[iGRXY]

I really think the upstate and Piedmont crew are going to love when we get in the short range and get the FGEN driven front end snow thump that tends to hold on much longer. Especially if we hold and trend to stronger confluence over the Atlantic. This has the potential to get a lot of people their first foot of snow in a really long time.

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

I really think the upstate and Piedmont crew are going to love when we get in the short range and get the FGEN driven front end snow thump that tends to hold on much longer. Especially if we hold and trend to stronger confluence over the Atlantic. This has the potential to get a lot of people their first foot of snow in a really long time.

So if a MEAN is 10-20” Can someone post those member charts like Pack does ? For a MEAN to be that high has to have some absolute HAMMERS in there. 20-30” or all but a few are 8-20” only way it’s that high imo

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[Stormsfury]

Weathernext surface temperatures

View attachment 185748

Pretty significant press ongoing. Reminds me of the old school models catching onto the low level cold leading up to the event.

 

[accu35]

Cold rain for BHM I suppose?

Trend is south so far. Between the gfs and Euro central bama will
Probably see ice. Plus if it keeps the south trend

 

[jackendrickwx]

So if a MEAN is 10-20” Can someone post those member charts like Pack does ? For a MEAN to be that high has to have some absolute HAMMERS in there. 20-30” or all but a few are 8-20” only way it’s that high imo

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These maps are overdone. Dont pay attention to specific numbers. There’s a big time winter storm signal right now and that’s all we know for sure

 

[Oconeexman]

Basically this looks like a more amped version of January 1988

Warmer air aloft but colder air mass moving in at the low-levels, with of course more background moisture to play with as the tropics and the upstream oceans are warmer than they were then. Just upped ante across the board

Man you are tugging at my heart strings!
Serviced my Generac today...im ready!
What's your thoughts on when we know if the Baja low stays disconnected or joins in? Wednesday evening?

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

These maps are overdone. Dont pay attention to specific numbers. There’s a big time winter storm signal right now and that’s all we know for sure

Too late already posted it on my neighborhood FB page and told everyone to follow me for more info.


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[GaStorm]

Do the EPS and AIFS snow maps include all frozen ptypes or mainly snow and sleet?

 

[Ward Cleaver]

I’m in Grenada this week and fly into Charlotte late Saturday night with a connection in Miami. Even if we can land at CLT from MIA, the drive up I-85 could be treacherous. It seems likely that we’ll be stuck in Miami Saturday night. I might start looking for a room around the Miami airport.

 

[Webberweather53]

Man you are tugging at my heart strings!
Serviced my Generac today...im ready!
What's your thoughts on when we know if the Baja low stays disconnected or joins in? Wednesday evening?

If the Baja low joins in, this will force more warm advection over top of the Arctic front, leading to a more extensive area of sleet and freezing rain over the south and will try to shift the primary low north.

This setup is also real dependent on what the TPV does over southern Canada, those usually don’t like to play nice

 

[bouncycorn]

EPS freezing rain accum MEAN is over .75" for much of north georgia. Insane!

 

[SnowmasterATL]

EPS freezing rain accum MEAN is over .75" for much of north georgia. Insane!

View attachment 185751

can we cut this in half like the rule of thumb has always been?

 

[DustinWx]

Still a long way out though.

Honest question we are obviously going to see some changes, but what chance do yall see with us losing it?

 

[DustinWx]

EPS freezing rain accum MEAN is over .75" for much of north georgia. Insane!

View attachment 185751

I’m in the minority but I love ice. I got a generator today

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

can we cut this in half like the rule of thumb has always been?

Not sure you can do that if mid/low 20’s verify

 

[griteater]

Do you have the snowfall maps on weathenext?

Last 4 runs here on Weathernext. This is likely counting snow and sleet, with sleet accumulation calculated as 10:1 when it should be 3:1 - but I'm guessing. But you can at least see the broad trends of course

 

[DustinWx]

Not sure you can do that if mid/low 20’s verify

What about precip rate? Generally heavier precipitation limits ice extent

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Absolute shambles when the video thumbnail is of the warmest model and it still shows a biblical wedge