AIFS moving this way as well:
I would caution that higher ratio snow outside of the mountains in the Carolinas is very rare. Even January 1988, CLT had a ratio of 11:1 and that was with temps in the mid to upper teen basically the whole storm
These images imply a life-threating situation all across the SE... BHM would be looking at 1" ice and 5" wet snow on top. Nearly 20" of snow in NW AL. Power outages for weeks!
Most meteorologists would say “no” to this, but I would say we don’t know what, if any, effect it’d have. Can’t rule out it having some kind of effect.
There's a perfect amount of interaction to create a wild solution for much of NC, and I think you just saw what that amount is.
we did reach S4 levels of protons yesterday, it does causes ground interference and issues with planes, not sure how that would effect data though. It does impact goes and ACE heavily though. Don’t think it would have much impact at the surface unless we had a major S5 level proton storm or if 100MeV protons were really high
Weaker storm and less WAA
@Webberweather53 what are your thoughts for extreme north Alabama due you think this storm can trend to more of a snow event?
Worst case scenario it completely cuts off (Rex Block/Omega Block) would dramatically reduce QPF... but the timeframe we are now in, the shifts SHOULD be minute. We're dealing with a couple days now vs 7 to 10 days.
It took the Canadian a forever amount of days to realize last year's Gulf Coast Blizzard was consistently depicted too far north until about 2 to 3 days out...it finally corrected only then.Final Tally from the Canadian. That's a lot of sleet!
This is the model that KRDU mentioned they were leaning towards in their discussion for their forecast this morning. These totals would be reasonable for a major winter storm in most cases but what we are potentially dealing with is totally in its own universe.
Not a major change but to be expected if you have more members hanging the baja further back.
