It took a big step towards other guidance this afternoon.
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I think the glacier would stick around for a while:
CMC footprint is an old style classic Miller A Nor’easter. Bomb. Been a long long time 
weatherguy
Member
I love this set up.
What the cmc just showed would be the biggest winter storm in American history
NCSNOW
Member
Yep. This is screaming big dog if the ens keep ticking up tonight an 12z tommorow along with the euro family. The ukie and Icon even side on this flavor,more than past couple runs of GFS. I think gfs just in its day 4-7 fog bowl,like always.
It would be a natural disaster for the south. Catastrophic.
John1122
Member
That was a wild Canadian run. I know it may have missed to some extent last storm, especially being too cold, but here in Tennessee it actually smoked the GFS regarding storm track/qpf etc. It was in the same camp as the Euro from around D5 in.
I mean the GFS wasn’t terrible though… could be better but still 
CMC was the first to show a ZR threat for the last system...
NCSNOW
Member
Ukmet is fixing to go boom here in a few me thinks
Edit. Oh yea incoming. Only 4 frames left to see the damage or goods i should say.
Edit. Oh yea incoming. Only 4 frames left to see the damage or goods i should say.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
I say again - God if you’re listeningView attachment 163587
Seems to be (As we know normally occurs) Pushing this into Late Next Tuesday Eve. So Technically….. Tomm is inside that magical Day 7
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Oh my 
John1122
Member
It, the ICON, Euro and Euro AI and eventually the RGEM were almost spot on here. The Euro was a little bit light in the QPF among those. The entire American suite did poorly here, NAM nest, HRRR and GFS.
Mobile stays around 28 degrees for the duration as the sleet piles up. Most of central AL is below 20 degrees. Absolutely wild!
rburrel2
Member
12z Ukmet at hr 150.. 
Absolutely. AL, GA and MS would entirely grind to a halt. That CMC run is absolutely legendary. I don’t know if that storm would have an equal.
iGRXY
Member
I promise the past 3 years and 6 years if you exclude Jan 2022 will be absolutely worth it if we get a legit threat that we can track 10 days without things going to hell and we actually get a monster.
ukie is even crazier than the cmc
00z UKMET went boom boom.
Brent
Member
-25 wind chills less than 2 hours from the beach in Texas 
FOlks, we may have a monster on our hands.Snow still falling at the end of the run.
Dawg foly huck
NCSNOW
Member
Its better than the canadian . Lawdy
iGRXY
Member
UK legit would be the EURO from a few days ago twin
John1122
Member
That Canadian run would basically be what if the Blizzard of '93 (with less wind) happened in January instead of March. Not the same storm, but the same/bigger fallout with colder temps, and lower sun angle to aid in melting. The temperatures behind it are life-threatening. Fortunately temps are the Canadian weak point. But with that snow cover, sub zero is definitely on the table. Maybe not -15 to -20 in Tennessee, but very cold.
So good 00z runs so far. Last storm it was bad 00z runs and good 12z runs. Wonder how it’s gonna go this time around
iGRXY
Member
UK Kuchera is as already painting 7-10” across the Carolinas and Georgia and we were in the middle of the event lol
Yes, for the Carolinas I agree. This had possibly another 18-24 hours to go for NC.
I don't want to be in the bullseye this far out.. TREND BACK SOUTH!!!
JLM
Member
To add icing to the cake here, winds gusting 20-30 mph along the Gulf Coast and into southern GA with half an inch of accumulated ice would be quite damaging i would imagine.
This is the coldest winter storm output I’ve ever seen from the UK. Simply unbelievable computage being computerized 
So is there like a emergency protocal for when all the models start throwing weenie runs over and over again... Do we break a glass and press a button or something???? Been here a minute but this is almost a first
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
The GFS and Euro have been cold during the precip, upper teens and low 20s, this cold airmass is legit
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Chattownsnow
Member
Given the GFS’s progressive bias at this range I would say it is exactly where you want it right now. Not sure I’ve seen anything quiet like this in my years of model watching dating back to 2009
rburrel2
Member
Yea, the Ukie is allergic to showing snow in the long range. This is one of the biggest signs we have something here.
albertwilsonjr
Member
Is there anyway we have to deal with a warm nose with system like this
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Check the Canadian. It's actually hard to believe what we're seeing. They don't make them like this anymore. I can't even imagine this could actually happen. But man, this air mass is frigid. What in the world?
