L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
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Panthers game in the snow??
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Panthers game in the snow??
Cold air undermodeled?! That looks like a robust 1021 HP up there! ?Oh yeah...cold air. You know how that goes around here . 850's are close and 2m's are warm though.
Don’t you love it when the GFS shows the best possible solution
Looks about right.
It would help force the jet south and allow for a more favorable storm track and a tendency to keep our area cooler. Unfortunately, it will be blocking in Pacific maritime air, given the strong Pac jet and since we're not yet loading Canada with really cold air.If that blocking would move west, would it slosh (JB) that colder air south? Weak HP and too far north currently.
Sudden stratospheric warmings begin near the stratopause (above 1mb), where planetary waves deposit their easterly momentum onto the polar westerly night jet and cause it to descend into the mid-upper stratosphere in a matter of a couple days. The lower stratosphere and troposphere often aren’t coupled (yet) and it’s normal to see them out of phase. Unlike an unperturbed state where the vortex is vertically stacked (equivalent barotropic), the initial phase of SSWE are usually highly baroclinic, which means tilting and out-of-phase circulation anomalies between the mid-upper stratosphere and lower troposphere.This has always bothered me but why are the strat and troposphere so out of phase? Is it just the obvious that they are far different heights and I should wrap my head around the east answer or is there something deeper? View attachment 60553View attachment 60554
Yeah the pacific still won’t be great but guess we can’t have it allIt would help force the jet south and allow for a more favorable storm track and a tendency to keep our area cooler. Unfortunately, it will be blocking in Pacific maritime air, givrn the strong Pac jet and since we're not yet loading Canada with really cold air.
It's effectively an important piece of an incomplete puzzle.