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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

KyloG said:
Funny...Thursday's low out of Canada got underneath the block and screwed up the HP from building in. For the Monday deal a low get's on top of the block to help us. The stronger and further south that gets the better.

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For SC we would also need the ridge to be further west. Who knows maybe it would trend better.
 
I think you're also seeing the globals do that wonderful thing where they try to Drive LP right into CAD and strong HP over the Northeast and southern Canada which won't happen.
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
Wow still too warm for central SC need a stronger cold push.
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You still need to take 4-7 degrees off those temps for the LR warm bias the ICON has. If you keep trending stronger and further south with the CAD. The LP will also have to drive further south which will knock even more degrees off those temps the closer you get. Not saying this will happen but when looking at the ICOn right here you can likely take 5-10 degrees off all those temps due to the warm bias and nature of CAD trending stronger closer to storm time. IF we maintain this Miller B look.
 
I take back what I said about the icon, yeah the CAD was stronger per MSLP but the ridging behind the system was meh Vs last run, and the confluence was a bit more East
 
Topped out at 57 degrees and have stayed there since 2 pm. The warm front never cleared the NC/SC border and pretty much stopped right near highway 25 in greenville county.
 
Poimen said:
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Very interesting things setting up here .. let’s dissect this a bit ... you see this initial storm on Thursday .. solid consensus on at least a light storm .. then a clear signal for a larger winter storm for the weekend .. but like with all classic Miller B systems there’s always an upper level feature that lags behind the initial storm and hits a day or so later which is what’s being picked up on a lot of ensembles and you can roughly see that here... very interesting we may have really hit the jackpot with this pattern here
 
iGRXY said:
Topped out at 57 degrees and have stayed there since 2 pm. The warm front never cleared the NC/SC border and pretty much stopped right near highway 25 in greenville county.
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Made it to all of 58 here. 14 degree miss from GSP. Tough forecast
 
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