One big rule of thumb for me is that north trends happen much more frequently and efficiently than south trends. That said, if you're going to get south trends, you tend to see them more in years with big blocks. As was said earlier, another 100 miles or so south with the parent, and this will be a big dog for many. And that is definitely doable.I will chase this to Richmond if Saturday's runs show 10"+ event.
I might need to chase this weekend storm to my parents’ house in Greensboro depending on how things develop.
Yeah, but my parents live in Greensboro, and I don’t have any family north on 85, haha. Greensboro looks to be in a better situation with this one than Durham most likely. I’d certainly rather be in Richmond, though!I think I’d drive north on 85 instead of south...
One big rule of thumb for me is that north trends happen much more frequently and efficiently than south trends. That said, if you're going to get south trends, you tend to see them more in years with big blocks. As was said earlier, another 100 miles or so south with the parent, and this will be a big dog for many. And that is definitely doable.
yup thats me, the Roanoke guy in the bullseye which is cool and all, but 5 days out so yikes
BRICK I told you on Dec 21st to hang tight. Hate to toot my own horn,but surely wed night or sunday RDU can not screw up my LR Forecast from a month ago.Inside 5 days, too. January looks like it's ending with a bang.
It does seem that this year, the south trend has been seen more than recent years. However looking back at 2009-2010, that year we saw a lot systems trend south before correcting a little north in the last 24 hoursOne big rule of thumb for me is that north trends happen much more frequently and efficiently than south trends. That said, if you're going to get south trends, you tend to see them more in years with big blocks. As was said earlier, another 100 miles or so south with the parent, and this will be a big dog for many. And that is definitely doable.
Yeah, I’ve always been under the impression the Miller Bs that work out for us transfer a lot further south than that. It seems like Miller Bs that actually work out for us have been few and far between the last decade or two...one of the reasons CLT and upstate SC have been in such a snow drought (they do comparatively better than GSO/RDU in Miller Bs according to Webber’s analysis).I can’t ever remember getting snow with a Miller B that transferred from Kentucky to Hatteras. Maybe on the backside? I guess if it’s ever going to happen it would be the last half of January.
Best chance is the front end finger of precip that sneaks in. Or if the damming is strong/deep enough, a brief change from zr/ip to sn on the backside, like you said.I can’t ever remember getting snow with a Miller B that transferred from Kentucky to Hatteras. Maybe on the backside? I guess if it’s ever going to happen it would be the last half of January.
I finally just got up to 50 here.... 19 degrees colder than what GSP had as my forecasted high in the mid morning update... never underestimate the power of the wedge44 at RDU. NAM winning on the temperature today