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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
He’s a nowcastologist.
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Yeah I remember during Hurricane Isaias last year he made a big stink about the storm making this big easterly turn as it approached because of 1 recon center fix that showed it. It was clearly just an eye wobble from a lopsided storm not indicative of overall motion (which turned out to be the case). Got into an argument with him about it on twitter lol. So I'm not so sure about that guy.
 
Yeah Brad is let’s just say a more wait until right until the event to start honking at a more serious threat. Not that I agree with that type of broadcast meteorology but that’s his style. But to see the EPS mean in the 30’s for most of the CAD regions of North and South Carolina is a bit concerning. IF, and that’s a big IF, we maintain the CAD look then it’s likely going to trend colder the closer we get to the event. We definitely aren’t in fantasy land with this one so those in the CAD areas should watch this one closely.
 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
There are plenty of signs. The euro, Canadian, and UK agree. The only model that doesn’t show a sign is the GFS. If the GFS was the only one showing a storm would he be honking it? No.
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He hugs whatever model shows the least or no snow/ice. I think hes a decent forecaster most of the time but he drives me nuts when he gets on his soapbox and tells people they are ridiculous for even thinking it may snow when there is data to support it.
 
KyloG said:
ICON trends. If we can get a 200 mile south shift we would really have something.

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These things have trended further south as we’ve gotten closer to the events so that looks to likely be the case here. Also if you start getting CAD the LP isn’t likely going to be able to cut to the Ohio valley or up the apps.
 
iGRXY said:
Yeah Brad is let’s just say a more wait until right until the event to start honking at a more serious threat. Not that I agree with that type of broadcast meteorology but that’s his style. But to see the EPS mean in the 30’s for most of the CAD regions of North and South Carolina is a bit concerning. IF, and that’s a big IF, we maintain the CAD look then it’s likely going to trend colder the closer we get to the event. We definitely aren’t in fantasy land with this one so those in the CAD areas should watch this one closely.
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Yeah and I’m not saying to start throwing accumulation maps up on the 5 o’clock news or even futurecast for it yet but instead saying something like we are closely monitoring a potential winter storm. To say there are no signs is just totally inaccurate.
 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
Yeah and I’m not saying to start throwing accumulation maps up on the 5 o’clock news or even futurecast for it yet but instead saying something like we are closely monitoring a potential winter storm. To say there are no signs is just totally inaccurate.
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He’s started this bad habit where he says there’s no threat, or no impact to our area, no chance of something happening when it comes to winter storms and tropical weather. And he’s been wrong way more times or has to change his tone quickly. I respect Brad’s knowledge but it’s getting a little out of hand with the absolutes that he says when clearly there is a threat for some kind of winter weather potentially.
 
iGRXY said:
He’s started this bad habit where he says there’s no threat, or no impact to our area, no chance of something happening when it comes to winter storms and tropical weather. And he’s been wrong way more times or has to change his tone quickly. I respect Brad’s knowledge but it’s getting a little out of hand with the absolutes that he says when clearly there is a threat for some kind of winter weather potentially.
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Goes from Brad Panicovich to Brad Asleepattheswitch
 
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