Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[iGRXY]

Around here I should be around 50 degrees already but I am still holding on to 45 degrees and a stout NE wind. You can actually see a little more cold air funneling down into Spartanburg and Cherokee counties as well. I think those along and east of highway 25 in Greenville county will likely be in the wedge for the remainder of the day.

 

[Shaggy]

Around here I should be around 50 degrees already but I am still holding on to 45 degrees and a stout NE wind. You can actually see a little more cold air funneling down into Spartanburg and Cherokee counties as well. I think those along and east of highway 25 in Greenville county will likely be in the wedge for the remainder of the day.

Mhx has me with a high of 61 today but the brand new 3k nam only gets me to 51 and the hrrr is upper 40s. That's 10 full degrees below forecast.

 

[JHS]

The 12z NAM is a little colder for upstate SC and keeps the boundary about 20 miles farther south. It also says instead of close to 60 for tomorrow we get up to about 52-53. I noticed Laurens went down 2 degrees from 7 to 8 am so I think it may be time for a forecast change from GSP.

 

[Tarheel1]

 

[jackendrickwx]

lulz. Let's see if it holds

 

[jackendrickwx]

3k and HRRR say 85 north see some clearing just before sundown which allows temps to rise to mid-high 50s. still would be a bust for gsp

 

[NCSNOW]

Balmy 37 degrees outside, @ 9:30 am.

 

[NCSNOW]

NORTHERN mtns off Rayswx site around Boone

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Crazy how the GFS/GEFS and ECMWF/EPS are worlds apart still

 

[SENC]

Mhx has me with a high of 61 today but the brand new 3k nam only gets me to 51 and the hrrr is upper 40s. That's 10 full degrees below forecast.

I'm in surf City,,,

(THEY) have Me getting into the Mid-60's / 70F range... I'm still setting @ 51 F & holding.. under Thunder-boomers

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS means already this low in CAD regions ? Nice

 

[LickWx]

EPS means already this low in CAD regions ? NiceView attachment 68045View attachment 68046View attachment 68047View attachment 68048

Not long ago we were supposed to be warm in that timeframe . Now we are getting another cold miserable rain . Yay

 

[jackendrickwx]

Low 60s around southern Lake Hartwell and high 40s north of Anderson all the way east to Elizabethtown NC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Brad says there’s no signs from the second event of anything, I don’t blame him look how fast we lost the last one (went from cad to a more minor event)

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Brad says there’s no signs from the second event of anything, I don’t blame him look how fast we lost the last one (went from cad to a more minor event)

For the one time in his life he is hugging the GFS ?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Brad says there’s no signs from the second event of anything, I don’t blame him look how fast we lost the last one (went from cad to a more minor event)

He’s a nowcastologist.

 

[BelmontWX79]

Brad says there’s no signs from the second event of anything, I don’t blame him look how fast we lost the last one (went from cad to a more minor event)

No he still hasn't got over being blasted by all those South Charlotte, Union County people when they got at most a slushy half inch when he forecasted 4-8in a few years ago.

 

[Chazwin]

Brad says there’s no signs from the second event of anything, I don’t blame him look how fast we lost the last one (went from cad to a more minor event)

How exactly are there no signs? I like Brad, but the EPS has been fairly consistent with something in that time range and has trended more the closer we get... also it’s not exactly in fantasy range anymore

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

How exactly are there no signs? I like Brad, but the EPS has been fairly consistent with something in that time range and has trended more the closer we get... also it’s not exactly in fantasy range anymore

Because he is hugging the gfs.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

How exactly are there no signs? I like Brad, but the EPS has been fairly consistent with something in that time range and has trended more the closer we get... also it’s not exactly in fantasy range anymore

There are plenty of signs. The euro, Canadian, and UK agree. The only model that doesn’t show a sign is the GFS. If the GFS was the only one showing a storm would he be honking it? No.