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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Model shifts tonight have been drier, warmer and worse for snow chances in NC. I just don’t see much of a mechanism to change things at this point. The energy pressing down is keeping this system weak as it crosses the area and the faster timing has hurt too.
 
Boone should do well so I'll be there Wednesday/Thursday
 
Welp, the cap is holding serve for now. The convection that's out there looks unimpressive so far.
 
I actually don’t see why everyone’s jumping ship I think what the Gefs and Gfs v16 are seeing is that the potential here is big it’s only a few degrees from being a quick paste for NC folks .. 850s looks awfully cold I can’t stand to think that would translate to rain at the surface .. storms are always a bit colder I mean hell we got sleet tonight?! Like huh?
 
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