Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[LickWx]

If the lag theory with the SSW is anywhere close to accurate, then the mid February period on we should eventually get pretty cold east of the rockies.

Not necessarily, I don’t think it’s that the east specifically should get cold it’s that somewhere should get shockingly cold . Favored locations being Asia first then central/ eastern us.

 

[cd2play]

If the lag theory with the SSW is anywhere close to accurate, then the mid February period on we should eventually get pretty cold east of the rockies.

#loadedwithpotential

 

[BufordWX]

Sky is already starting to light up from the showers developing around here. Main storms don’t even arrive for another 6 hours. I love nights like these!!!

 

[NoSnowATL]

Sky is already starting to light up from the showers developing around here. Main storms don’t even arrive for another 6 hours. I love nights like these!!!

I’m jealous

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Soo muchhh painnn, so much pain

 

[LickWx]

I’m jealous

I wanted to say the same thing ! Spring thunderstorm climatology east of the mountains is bad . Eastern NC is far enough away and Raleigh close enough that is not horrifyingly bad and can be good though. Look at the annual average of thunderstorm days a year map and you will see a clear CAD signature in it ( not joking , take a look lol!).

 

[LickWx]

Soo muchhh painnn, so much pain View attachment 67671View attachment 67672

I just love how the exact coldest part of the state outside the very very highest elevations ( because even most the mountains look warmer ) is modeled right around RDU.

 

[tramadoc]

But I am positive it was said if it went further south it would deliver a snow storm for NC.

That’s what you get not knowing how to read the models and all the variables and taking verbatim what others say.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nam shows very spotty stuff but dang with those steep MLLRs it wouldn’t shock me if there’s some elevated thunderstorms

 

[snowlover91]

Interesting changes in the 00z NAM so far.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Interesting changes in the 00z NAM so far.

Looks way south to me from its 18Z run. At the surface at least.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Nam shows very spotty stuff but dang with those steep MLLRs it wouldn’t shock me if there’s some elevated thunderstorms View attachment 67673View attachment 67677View attachment 67676

GSP has been mentioning 50% thunder for a few straight packages

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Not sure if anyone posted this. But 18z gfs para ?

 

[snowlover91]

 

[BufordWX]

I’ll take the NAM. Might squeeze out some flakes here Wednesday morning.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Man why the v16 gotta do me like this, completely different look then any model ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Soo muchhh painnn, so much pain View attachment 67671View attachment 67672

Drive down 85 and enjoy my 70’s

 

[mrdaddyman]

GFSv16 is still trying.

 

[NCSNOW]

That v 16 frame with LP exiting Morehead City fixing to bomb out,is what you want to root for. Every mile south of that point just drag the Rn/Sn line down south with it. Only hope and thats Gold for Northern Coastal Plain. Even back this way. south of Onslow county beach area would be better

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

That v 16 frame with LP exiting Morehead City fixing to bomb out,is what you want to root for. Every mike south of that point just drag the Rn/Sn line down south with it. Only hope and thats Gold for Northern Coastal Plain. Even back this way. south of Onslow county beach area would be better

I just don't think that's a realistic solution at all. Too bad that's going to have to be our new gfs