Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Myfrotho704_]

I recommend Boone.

I recommend the very top of grandfather mountain

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Man that snow is close by, but just as well be 500 miles north if it's not in OBY!

 

[LickWx]

Is it just or since April have the mean trough/ ridge axis seemed completely out of wack ? Normally the coldest and bottom of a trough is Tennessee / Alabama area, rule of thumb is always further east less cold .Thats why Huntsville Alabama and Greensboro nc have the same annual mean minimum . However ever since April it has seemed to be completely out of wack and instead an abnormal further west you are the warmer . Just look at models for Tuesday . Places NW of me look as warm or warmer .

 

[IWC]

Well I'm keeping my fingers crossed to get a lil something here in RDU... Lickwx I think we purchased a truck from you a few weeks ago..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Pretty good agreement here on the location that gets hit, still not 100

 

[BufordWX]

The Canadian is trying to make things interesting for me. Lol

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Uh GEFS is much better ? Wtf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

V16 was also better at the surface this run and had snow farther south

 

[Ollie Williams]

Uh GEFS is much better ? Wtf View attachment 67397View attachment 67398View attachment 67399

Much more ridging to the north like our first scenario.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Bro wtf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There’s a couple really solid members

 

[sdm47]

Bro wtf View attachment 67402View attachment 67403

This IS THE WAY. We've tested this theory every which way possible. We need the high to build in and to do that we need that upper low out of the way. I am truly shocked at the GEFS though, was not expecting such a dramatic shift. Wow.

 

[Chandler]

There’s a couple really solid members View attachment 67406View attachment 67408

Member 23 is a crush job at the border

 

[Myfrotho704_]

More confluence from SE Canada as well

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This IS THE WAY. We've tested this theory every which way possible. We need the high to build in and to do that we need that upper low out of the way. I am truly shocked at the GEFS though, was not expecting such a dramatic shift. Wow.

Yeah that’s a shift you’d expect at hour 144+ or something like that, geez

 

[sdm47]

More confluence from SE Canada as well View attachment 67410View attachment 67411

Here comes the high too (concentrate on the 1020mb isobar). Almost appears this is due more to the confluence from the northeast than the trend with the upper low over south-central Canada. If we can keep trending on both of these maybe there's a chance....

 

[sdm47]

Yeah that’s a shift you’d expect at hour 144+ or something like that, geez

Even inside 30 hours there is a massive shift at H5 (for that time frame). This thing still isn't settled 100%.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Woah the Uk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Time to high five again boys