Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[whatalife]

At least this is showing up
View attachment 67243

Yep. 12z GFS says we’ll be chasing another pattern change at the end of the first week of February. Let’s just hope this one happens. The mid/late January prediction by the models failed miserably.


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[NCSNOW]

Always prefer snows fallen 1st half met winter. They have more staying power,hang around longer. As we roll through the last week of Jan into Feb,the sun angle starts to get up on higher in the sky noticeably each passing day. Maybe we can pull the rabit out of the hat and catch one of those late winter,early spring bombs like 1980,1993. Ive avoided the shutout, glad to say never expierenced one. However its been since December 2018 since weve had a good snowstorm in my county. The patience is probably gonna have to last atleast 10 more months. Dont see anything promising past this weeks longshot thats fading away. Good news is I dont see any reason the season can be written off yet eitheir. Usually mid Feb you can see,have a good enough feel LR whether or not to throw in the towel.

 

[Chandler]

Nice to see there is at least a couple gefs members that still show a south solution ig

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Can’t torch properly with a never ending -NAO

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Wilkes onset ice is now Hagerstown onset. Been a banger of a winter, fellas.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’ve never wanted the -NAO gone this badly just let it get warm already and I mean for days not this crap where it’s warm for a day then a cold rain

 

[Webberweather53]

I’ve never wanted the -NAO gone this badly just let it get warm already and I mean for days not this crap where it’s warm for a day then a cold rainView attachment 67252

It's about to be just cold rain and no warm days

 

[BirdManDoomW]

If Virginia north scores we can almost bank on a cad event ice storm with MTN snow IMO. I’m rooting for a blizzard for Virginia-West Virginia areas with this first system.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It's about to be just cold rain and no warm days

Epic -NAO pattern ftw !! Smh

 

[Webberweather53]

Need a few runs like this to put NC back in the driver seat, but we've clearly made a move thus far on the 12z suite to make that happen down the line

After last night's runs, we were basically looking at the football-equivalent of being down 2 scores late in the 3rd quarter and the other team got the ball back and was driving down the field poised to score a touchdown. These run over run changes on the GEFS, GFS, & other models on today's 12z runs have basically indicated that the opposing team went into the red zone & failed to score any points & now we got the ball back with a minute or two left in the 3rd quarter. Gotta go down and score a TD here on this possession (i.e. this trend needs to continue over the next few runs)

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Hope this encourages everyone stay tuned post more read follow join in winter fun times ahead

 

[Webberweather53]

PV lobe looks a little further south over Manitoba on the Euro this run thru hr 54.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This little change could make a big difference

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Would be the most 2021 thing if we lost a warm day to a wedge, smh

 

[Webberweather53]

We need more where this came from but should be a better run of the Euro incoming

 

[Shaggy]

PV lobe looks a little further south over Manitoba on the Euro this run thru hr 54.

Any southern shift is a step closer. Hope these baby steps continue and we can get back in that game.

 

[LickWx]

Would be the most 2021 thing if we lost a warm day to a wedge, smh View attachment 67257View attachment 67258View attachment 67259

Seriously , I mean seriously . I can’t with this anymore man . Another wedge more cold rain and 50s while you enjoy warmth . This is backwards . Atlanta and Charlotte have mean maxes under 70 in January 81-10 believe it or not ! Raleigh though has a mean max of 72 81-10 in January . Yet we get screwed , I don’t believe in CAD anymore . Doesn’t seem to affect the areas you would think it does , instead Raleigh in the border of the coastal plain is the most CAD prone . The heck.

 

[Webberweather53]

Our wave is further south over the southern Rockies & the PV lobe is further southeast over Ontario on this run.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Step in the right direction, need about 3 more of these

 

[Webberweather53]

A VA-centric hit verbatim on the Euro.