You didn't have to go there. I need to move back to brier creek
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
The Euro is even a lame storm for VA, sheesh.
That's a true metwannabespecial
Shaggy
Member
At PGV I measured 15 inches on Dec 3rd 2000 on top of an elevated protected aluminum boat.
The reason for a worse euro run was less confluence over the NE us which encourages a further north track, we still have a long way to go to iron things out 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah I was gonna actually add in a circle for Dec 2000 for parts of Pitt, Edgecombe, & Martin counties, but I'd like to investigate the storm further myself in the future to try & piece together what actually happened because you're far from the first person in that area that's told me about this.
Shaggy
Member
Yeah that was a monster here. Had other yard measurements of 17 inches. It was a crusher.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Fwiw, the 12z EPS does look slightly better than the operational Euro synoptically. The vort max needs to track from roughly Dallas to Columbia, SC to put NC in the driver seat, we're still too far north atm
Not bad, looks similar to 00z on the snow mean but less for VA
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We need the vort max to drop down about 150 miles to the south from where most models currently have it to put NC in the sweet spot
Yep, Plenty of time still to go either direction, I wonder which way we’ll go ?
I am perfectly content with this. If I have learned anything over the years, it is- you never want to be in the bullseye 6-7 days out. Still, a lot to iron out, but I don't hate where we sit as of now. Let's see if that changes. Hoping for the best!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I know we've talked a lot about how we need confluence over the NE US to squash the SE US ridge and entice our s/w to dig further south in our favor. Well, there's another way we can do that... By strengthening the upstream ridge over the Rockies like the 12z EPS is doing, we can force our wave downstream over the MS Valley to dig a little more to the south and still kinda get to the same answer/solution we're hoping for.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
For the kind of change we need to see here, there would still be wiggle room even at day 3 for it to legitimately happen in the models, definitely lots of time left.
Avalanche
Member
Spectrum mentioned the mid atlantic could see some snow late Thursday into Friday. At least thats some snowpack to work with.
I didn't like this response... Lol
Loltorch 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist