Here is where I live circled in red. Always battling the warm noseif this did happen I assume we would get changeover to snow at some point.
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if this did happen I assume we would get changeover to snow at some point. 
Morehead City, Harkers Island?
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Morehead City, Harkers Island?
You’re the man!!
34 out of 50 ensemble members. Quite a few big dogs too. Looks really nice to see.
Definitely like seeing that high in PA. It’s not very strong but it’s in a great spot.
znel52
Member
Newport, just West of Morehead City. Morehead is a 6 or 7 minute drive from my house.
Still a decent spread mid 20s to mid 30s depending on model/ensemble
The thread tho ? (click and read it)
Friend of mine was the fire chief in Newport for a short period of time.
iGRXY
Member
Crying at him getting called a wishcaster because the H5 is lining up with a previous year that developed a large storm. ?
Tramadoc special.
LickWx
Member
You know what I just realized? Brick may have been right, it does need to be 70 to snow. The warm day has trended warmer ahead of the storm, while models trended also more towards snow. Could it be, that having a stronger ridge ahead of the storm has the downstream affect of more digging for our system? Or, the more the system digs the more upstream ridging? I think Brick was right.
SnowNiner
Member
Nice trends overnight. I like that the UKMET is closer to the GFS solution, and that the EURO trended to the GFS as well. From the overnight runs, I think eastern NC is put in a good place. Still not sold western/central NC will be cold enough when the low is in the gulf. Let's hope the good trends continue today.
WE TOSS THE ICON 
12z Icon is a no go. High toi far north.
This trend on it (the ICON) is cringe with the N/S energy and confluence
It’s hard to really zero in any operational model still. Remember last night’s ICON had a crippling Ice Storm for the NC southern Piedmont. There’s just no trend on them right now either way.
Could today be the day I hit 60 degrees for the first time this year ?
If not today 1/28 looks good
If we don’t hit it today or Tuesday, we’ll probably go through January without a 60 degree day.
GFS so far looks like a nod to the icon at H5