Yeah we’re tossing this cmc run
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Screw you CMC foh 
Coastal blizzard conditions depicted here
iGRXY
Member
So we’re 2/3 so far for winter storms on tonight’s runs. Hopefully the GEFS comes in similar to the OP
NCSNOW
Member
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That thing is gonna be the thorn in our side. Id just assume it would disappear.
Hmmm maybe the CMC isn’t complete garbage, couple more trends of this and the N/S energy is outa here, but this still sucks 
I’d like to see this thing on top of Larry and Phil tomorrow at 12z to give me some wiggle room
NorthGaWinter4
Member
I usually hate when NC cashed in and i don’t but my goodness i hope y’all do! What a potential!
Clem282340
Member
Is that all snow in the upstate or there mixing in the snowfall maps and do you think the high pressure will trend colder the closer we get so that ne ga can get in on it as well
UK was a bit warm at H85 but looked good 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Get the main vort max to track a little more south and have the northern stream back a little west and interact sooner... you basically get mar 1927 lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Just a quick reminder what mar 1927 looked like
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When comparing 850, the UKMET is the furthest south. I remember it having a south/left bias, although I haven't really seen that for a long time. The CMC is an outlier for now.
UKMET is also the fastest, which may be part of why it was a little warmer (less time for cold to build in). Still looked like it was about to produce though with that northern stream about to dive in.
CMC ensemble snow mean looks better fwiw
CMC op is a piece of absolute garbage. I am legit happier that it does not show the same solution as the GFS/ICON/UKMET - to me, that actually lends credibility to those solutions. And I'd say the same thing if it was the one showing what the GFS was showing. Last 4 runs are evidence enough that it has absolutely no clue what is going on regardless of how this ultimately plays out.
John1122
Member
Tennessee was nailed by that 1927 event as well. Chattanooga got 12 inches. 10 in Knoxville. Even as far West as Nashville got 4 inches or so. Was it just overall colder? Better HP to the north? Just wondering how close this might be on this side of the Apps and what it would take for a repeat of that here.
I feel like March 1927 is wishcasting to an extent. Lots of folks are going to be disappointed if they associate that storm with this potential, even if it is a big one.