Rather startling taking into account the warm bias the ICON has with 2m temps.
And take into account if we end up with a Miller B/CAD setup (I’ve been leaning towards this for a couple days if we were to see any wintry weather at all) that you’re basically got a very warm biased model showing right at or below freezing temperatures this far out and CAD almost always trends colder and how poor globals handle it. That’s not a very good sign at all.Rather startling taking into account the warm bias the ICON has with 2m temps.
We certainly need it to go away entirely IMHO.I find it interesting how it handled the TPV, it just threw it away back into Canada into the block, but yeah this is a pretty classic look for NC/VAView attachment 66978
It could aid us in a complete different sort of setup, if it’s strung out initially, passes under the block, then crashing down from Canada and trying to phase with our S/W, and that provides a big event, or you get the in between, which sucks donkey ----, or you get it to completely go away and brush it under the rug and get a CAD/miller B setupWe certainly need it to go away entirely IMHO.
Yes it is. Take 3-4 degrees off these temperatures and you have upper 20s down into the upstate and mid 20s for Charlotte metro. Also the winds would be coming from the NE in a fashion that keeps the cold funneling in. Hate to say it, but Charlotte metro is way overdue for a major ice storm.Rather startling taking into account the warm bias the ICON has with 2m temps.
I wouldn't freak out. The thing that scares me is the TPV. That doesn't look to be a problem, although this run looks different.Yeah GFS isn’t gonna as good, track is further north so far vs 18z, could be wrong tho View attachment 66984