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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

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Is it me or is this trending north each run? I'm headed to Boone middle of this week for a trip.
 
Models have oddly fallen into line on a certain scenario where that first storm cuts but get hit by that -NAO and fizzles but then another storm form and rushes towards the mountains and then gets shunted further south with redevelopment on the coast... that one has the potential that the cmc Gfs and Fv3 and euro showed earlier today ...
 
I'll save you some time my early risers..
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The Euro sucked and moved to the NE.
Again the first storm is not ours anymore that brings the cold air .. which then produces the second storm I’ve been talking about which the euro just put this bad boy out CE17A876-D232-4822-B71C-3C683C688F39.jpeg
 
Euro has maybe showed more fantasy’s then the Gfs this year ! (Joking) but in all seriousness .. clearly it’s seeing something and this time period around the 29th has really been focused on the EPS .. and I’m sure will follow suit tonight .. or at least hope ??‍♂️
 
The January 24th-26th time period should definitely be monitored for a potential severe weather event over parts of the southeast. Euro showing a fairly stout looking system with dew points into the mid 60s across parts of Alabama and Mississippi, which is sufficient for late January. Good news is that this is still a week out and will see many changes hopefully away from severe weather, but definitely something to watch over the next few days.2D3CCAE0-E8E7-4CDA-A83B-F1932285E767.gifC7AF665A-6879-4911-B802-4DFD2FDE1461.gif9C80C4BE-E7E5-4CC3-853A-A9043D6EA245.png
 
Again the first storm is not ours anymore that brings the cold air .. which then produces the second storm I’ve been talking about which the euro just put this bad boy out

This is perfect Annalysis: Both GFS @ 6z and Canadian & Euro from 0z send the Monday system up by us all and it drags the Cold down. Its the system on its heels that follows Wed/Thurs that lays a lick on esopeacilly NC. They all Jackpot Northern Coastal Plain of NC, but really all of nC does well. They key is all the operational models listed above show they exact same thing unfolding just as described above. Big consensus, but still 9 days out. Lets see how it shakes out. Should have a good idea by the end of this week as it will get under the magical 120 hr range.
 
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