Won’t last long with a -NAO tho, something is just gonna undercut it, the fact that the block was further north this run but stronger sucks for the medium range but is better for later 
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Weather peen 
When you squish a SER but a strong one and one further north, that’s how you get the warm temps then the cold stuff above
Looks more likely we have to go through at least a day or 2 of warmth let's just overlap it with a weekend
packfan98
Moderator
Maybe a good fantasy storm to lift our spirits???
Pretty good look. It’s got the right general idea for a good fantasy outputMaybe a good fantasy storm to lift our spirits???
Florence Flusher 
Broken024
Member
Hour 330 better than 384 ?
Honestly with the way the LR has trended, maybe we should be rooting for it to show 80s and severe. Of course, that would verify right on the nose haha.Maybe a good fantasy storm to lift our spirits???
If we see a snow in Cuba solution at 300+hrs I might get interested.
Broken024
Member
holy shitballs another one incoming at end of run. no one tell brick
All joking aside, the LR GFS shows exactly what we need - a big sprawling Arctic high to provide a continuous feed of cold, dry air into the south. Just like @Rain Cold said yesterday, this significantly expands the window and opportunities for wintry precipitation across the southern U.S.
Broken024
Member
Yep, verbatim if that happens we can call it a winter and move to summer.
That SE Canada vortex is gonna crap on any warmth East of the Mountains especially in NC, watch ?
That sensor for the S word ??
That sensor for the S word ??
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We're continuing to lose the -NAO in the medium range & right on cue, here comes the SE ridge
Nice winter day sat ? 
Webb, I know you predicted this (SER) as an unwelcomed necessary event albeit short lived, in order to get the cold in later. Have we lost our 15th-22nd (or so) window now and have basically a one week opportunity ( ~23rd-~31st) to have the best players to score? Assuming Feb still up in the air.
I'd sure would like to see this a little more south
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Last 5 successive days of 12z GEFS runs for Jan 21st.
Total failure.
Total failure.
I hate -EPOs. Give me marginal stuff with a +PNA/-NAO over this, -EPOs have sucked the last few years
