Lol central US death ridge go back to sleep it’s to early.....
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Poor Mack going to be frying in Dapuke
Going to have to hear about how cold and cloudy it is while Fargo is warmer than RDU
iGRXY
Member
All I will say is I don't think it's wise to argue with the guy who spent most of his life researching and analyzing data for SE winter storms and who has a degree in the field. I'll leave it at that. Now I think we have 2 potential winter storms here. The Southern slider is very suppressed on a lot of the guidance which is where you want it at this range still. The Day 9-10 storm on the euro is a beaut as the 50/50 low is in a perfect spot with CAD building in. That is a picture perfect snowstorm for the northern upstate (6-10" of all snow) a mix bag of snow, sleet, and ZR in the central, southern upstate, and northern midlands (2-4" snow & 0.25+ of ZR) and a pretty big ice storm for the pee dee region (0.5+ ZR, 1-2" snow). That's generally how a lot of our wide spread winter storms look around here.
Oconeexman
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Agree with ya on this one. The slider isn't totally over yet and that storm the Doc shows on the 21st-22nd is a classic set up. Fits the time frame Webb has touted as the prime time frame. Although not a guarantee its definitely the best look I've seen so far. Hopefully she holds for us.
Bannerdude
Member
If you know anyone just starting to explore their inner weather nerd, NWS Raleigh is sponsoring a training session late next week.
lol at people arguing about weather patterns with a weatherman.
You know it's been a bad stretch without snow/winter weather when people are bringing out the torches and pitch forks at our resident Meteorologist.
You know it's been a bad stretch without snow/winter weather when people are bringing out the torches and pitch forks at our resident Meteorologist.
Maybe 
I see you ? NAM! Thursday suprise up in here! Was flurries yesterday! 
Looks better for sure.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
it tried but still suppressed, some precip makes it into eastern nc though. not as much precip west as 12z
If we could consolidate this mess and tilt it instead of a spread out mass, then we get something from the N/S, and I mean something better, still hope we could get a Uk look tho with the S/S phasing in a right spot 
Looks better to me at H5 In terms of potential compared to 12z 
You want a little more interaction and a neutral tilt at that location, sort of like what the UK showed...although I suspect the UK would have violently lifted north soon there after and would have ridden just inland or right along the coast.
Wrt those SN showers under the ULT, could certainly see some stuff sneak east of the mountains, sorta reminds me of a warmer version of Christmas, most likely would be flurries although a burst of snow in them is not impossible, but that inverted V screams virga, but is also the reason you could go from light rain >>>> evap cooling >>>> get down to wet bulb temp and light snow, we sure are running up the flizzard count this year 
Hopefully we trend to that and not waste it
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If you’re in RDU, you wanna see the trough axis go neutral around the AL/GA border +/- 100-125 miles or so. If you’re tilting neutral sooner around say Mississippi like Jan 87 & Mar 93, the sfc low will indeed track too far inland and it’ll end up being a Apps centric snowstorm with significant totals confined along/west of I 85 & mostly rain in the east-central Piedmont + coastal plain.
Most localized crush job ever, lol 