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Pattern January 2017 Discussion

metwannabe link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts
4a5d8535d618dd426835fe1ebc17af6e.jpg


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Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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Yeah, I'll take that. Looks like the mean went up for the GEFS.

58654813a774c_ScreenShot2016-12-29at12_28_51PM.png.c33207c41b9aa1cb3d80d10cbf50e853.png
 
Storm5 link said:
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

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Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!
 
Looks like more big hits on the individual members, too. 1, 6, 8, 11, 16, 18, and 19 to be precise.
 
tellicowx link said:
Look at how many individual members are really not that far apart, especially for a D10 ensemble

70af88c522c54ff795e80ee436396942.jpg


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Quite a few of these look really good. Nice.
 
metwannabe link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4358#msg4358 date=1483032837]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!
[/quote]
Give me E8 as well and it can be 85 from here to next January...LOL!


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First, the EPS means on the GEFS and EPS started mirroring each other. Now you have individual members starting to do the same. I think the odds are definitely increasing of a southern slider/LP that hugs the coast or maybe just a touch inland before sliding OTS. The block is gonna be the ultimate key I think.

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So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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whatalife link said:
So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=60.msg4365#msg4365 date=1483033362]
So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

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[/quote]
Lol...I've been waiting on either the GEFS or EPS to implode myself

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metwannabe link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4358#msg4358 date=1483032837]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!
[/quote]
even if you remove that stupid member there are still more hits vs none at all

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=60.msg4365#msg4365 date=1483033362]
So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk


[/quote]

We're bound to have a "congrats Boston" run at some point.  Right now the players seem to be on the field.  Too early to take each model run verbatim, just hoping we keep a consistent look at this point so we can start to zero in next week.
 
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