Pattern January 2017 Discussion

[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

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Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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[Brick Tamland]

Yeah, I'll take that. Looks like the mean went up for the GEFS.

 

[Metwannabe]

[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

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Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Looks like more big hits on the individual members, too. 1, 6, 8, 11, 16, 18, and 19 to be precise.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Look at how many individual members are really not that far apart, especially for a D10 ensemble

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Quite a few of these look really good. Nice.

 

[whatalife]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4358#msg4358 date=1483032837]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

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Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

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[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!
[/quote]
Give me E8 as well and it can be 85 from here to next January...LOL!


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[tellicowx]

First, the EPS means on the GEFS and EPS started mirroring each other. Now you have individual members starting to do the same. I think the odds are definitely increasing of a southern slider/LP that hugs the coast or maybe just a touch inland before sliding OTS. The block is gonna be the ultimate key I think.

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[whatalife]

So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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[Flurry]

E6 or E19...B-I-N-G-O

 

[Storm5]

So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

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[tellicowx]

[quote author=whatalife link=topic=60.msg4365#msg4365 date=1483033362]
So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

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[/quote]
Lol...I've been waiting on either the GEFS or EPS to implode myself

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[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4358#msg4358 date=1483032837]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=60.msg4354#msg4354 date=1483032625]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4352#msg4352 date=1483032548]
good lord the gefs mean is nuts

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

Yasssss that's more like it.....
[/quote]
that's a pretty big increase from 06z

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Yeah E8 with it's over 2 feet for central NC might be skewing the mean just a tad lol.... but overall I like what I see this far out!
[/quote]
even if you remove that stupid member there are still more hits vs none at all

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[noda-wx]

[quote author=whatalife link=topic=60.msg4365#msg4365 date=1483033362]
So will the Euro be stay as she goes or does the Euro change course in a few...LOL!


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ohio valley cutter like two of the gefs members. we are due for a cliff diving run

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[/quote]

We're bound to have a "congrats Boston" run at some point.  Right now the players seem to be on the field.  Too early to take each model run verbatim, just hoping we keep a consistent look at this point so we can start to zero in next week.

 

[Storm5]

here comes DR No

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[Storm5]

12z euro is slower with the cold push vs 00z so far

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[Storm5]

Houston we have a problem

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[Storm5]

12z euro is introducing a little SER flex on Thursday

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[whatalife]

Looks like Euro may have different solution


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[Brick Tamland]

Of course it does.

 

[Storm5]

let's see where this goes

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