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Wintry Jan 6-7 2022 Winter potential

Nashville NWS has the 1 to 2 into north Alabama
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Stephenb888 said:
I have 2 questions. What exactly causes the NW trend late every time, and has anyone ever seen a storm start tracking south instead of NW when it’s actually go time? Just curious.
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I can't remember who, (it may have been Dr. Alicia Bentley) found in their research that there is no bias in models for an NW trend, and it is all perceptive.
 
Just from how this looks, I can't see this being anything for anyone south of NC or TN outside maybe flurries. Can't get excited for a weak low that would have do dig 100 miles more south to be meaningful in just 2 days of runs, and with the wave coming ashore tomorrow it'll likely be locked into nothing more than 20 to 30 mile shifts come verification time.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Just from how this looks, I can't see this being anything for anyone south of NC or TN outside maybe flurries. Can't get excited for a weak low that would have do dig 100 miles more south to be meaningful in just 2 days of runs, and with the wave coming ashore tomorrow it'll likely be locked into nothing more than 20 to 30 mile shifts come verification time.
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I'm seriously giving thought to chasing it, though. 3.5 hours away and I could be in Knoxville or maybe Crossville, TN. It's not extremely heavy or extremely cold and icy. It might work.
 
weatherfide said:
I'm seriously giving thought to chasing it, though. 3.5 hours away and I could be in Knoxville or maybe Crossville, TN. It's not extremely heavy or extremely cold and icy. It might work.
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snow starting with temps in the mid 20s in any part of the south is extremely cold. Especially with how cold temps have been as lots of us dropped into the teens this morning. The snow will stick as soon as it hits the ground making travel much more difficult then the last snow. Im not suggesting you don’t travel but 3-4 inches of snow with the forecasted temps will cause major road issues even in Nashville. By the way I think Nashville can start putting to rest the snow hole problem. Since 2015 the Midstate has done pretty good with winter weather events. This will be the second winter in a row that a major snow storm hit within 3 days of eachother if this one pans out.
 
olhausen said:
snow starting with temps in the mid 20s in any part of the south is extremely cold. Especially with how cold temps have been as lots of us dropped into the teens this morning. The snow will stick as soon as it hits the ground making travel much more difficult then the last snow. Im not suggesting you don’t travel but 3-4 inches of snow with the forecasted temps will cause major road issues even in Nashville. By the way I think Nashville can start putting to rest the snow hole problem. Since 2015 the Midstate has done pretty good with winter weather events. This will be the second winter in a row that a major snow storm hit within 3 days of eachother if this one pans out.
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Yes, you make good points. Probably going to sit this one out, especially since the southeast looks to be heading into a significantly colder period over the next few weeks.
 
weatherfide said:
Yes, you make good points. Probably going to sit this one out, especially since the southeast looks to be heading into a significantly colder period over the next few weeks.
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I just saw all those people I believe in Virginia get trapped in the snow and ice on the freeway since last night. You mentioned traveling here so it made me think about it when you posted. Being stuck on the freeway for 12 or more hours would be a nightmare.
 
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