Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

[Webberweather53]

Yeah I mean the northward shifts can stop now lol

Lol yeah I think I'm good now w/ the short-term amping trends.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oooh la la

View attachment 68546

Ooo la ----

 

[Metwannabe]

Also the 3k NAM went from a 1003mb slp to a 997mb with the most recent run, now I'm glad this thing isn't turning the corner up the coast or WAA would be an issue up here too.

 

[Brick Tamland]

RAH NWS updated their totals.
View attachment 68549

Still staying on the lowest end.

 

[superjames1992]

RAH NWS updated their totals.
View attachment 68549

Looks reasonable.

But this is the only forecast map a real weenie would look at. I’m polishing off my snow shovel for the 8” I’m about to get in Durham. modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie

 

[Webberweather53]

Ooo la banana View attachment 68550

Lol that's the definition of pain

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Here’s a fun map .. visibility’s as the storm is moving through ... has around .7 miles as the visibility at RDU for 4 or so hours

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol that's the definition of pain

Rates won’t overcome ! Finding new ways to suck

 

[Metwannabe]

RAH NWS updated their totals.
View attachment 68549

I wouldn't be surprised if they issued a winter storm watch up here since it's getting close to warning criteria on the low end now, they can always go back to an advisory or bump it up to a warning as the night progresses.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Looks reasonable.

But this is the only forecast map a real weenie would look at. I’m polishing off my snow shovel for the 8” I’m about to get in Durham. modernweenie modernweenie modernweenie

View attachment 68551

Funny how that's the high end but the official forecast is still at the very lowest end and not somewhere in the middle.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Tick further south!

 

[Webberweather53]

Also the 3k NAM went from a 1003mb slp to a 997mb with the most recent run, now I'm glad this thing isn't turning the corner up the coast or WAA would be an issue up here too.

Yeah that's why I wanted the big PV lobe to drop southward, had that not happened this thing would have shot all the way back into the mid-Atlantic & central Apps

 

[Metwannabe]

Right on time, it was my tweet to them yesterday that pushed them across the finish line lol

 

[Metwannabe]

Tick further south!
View attachment 68554

That's good, probably means starting to finally zero in on location of heaviest axis.... always like to see the north trend stop

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I wouldn't be surprised if they issued a winter storm watch up here since it's getting close to warning criteria on the low end now, they can always go back to an advisory or bump it up to a warning as the night progresses.

“An aDvIsOrY iS aN uPgRaDe FrOm A wAtCh”

 

[blueheronNC]

Downtown Raleigh itself is teetering on the edge of where totals will drop off markedly. No more northward shifts ty.

 

[Metwannabe]

Blend of all models, slight increase.... nice to see positive trends leading into an event for a change

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Wow NAM even has some potent frontogenetic forcing in the 700mb layer. Northern NC is going to have a lot of fun tonight.

 

[CaryWx]

“An aDvIsOrY iS aN uPgRaDe FrOm A wAtCh”
View attachment 68556

WWAs and WSWs are two different notifications for the NWS

 

[Brick Tamland]

Blend of all models, slight increase.... nice to see positive trends leading into an event for a change

View attachment 68557

And I think the last NAM is really the only one keeping the totals down.