Wintry Jan 23-27 Winter Storm Obs

[jackendrickwx]

So far it looks like the HRRR is actually verifying better than the NAM on p type. That's a rarity for CAD & I hope it reverses course because we are in trouble if it doesn't

You can color me more concerned than I was this morning

 

[HailBot]

No signs of precipitation, sporadic breeze but mostly still. Temps dropping just south of Pickens County Airport (LQK)

 

[crecre9]

Winds have switched around to the SE and the temperature has shot up to 38.

 

[NCSNOW]

It is already a slick mess out here. This is going to get nasty in a hurry. Heck, it's already nasty.

Are you seeing it wet on railings freezing yet? You know like traditional feezing rain or are the droplets freezing before they hit?

 

[Brent]

13/8

Well see what the overnight holds. It's trying to get going again

 

[WxBlue]

NC Foothills are at a disadvantage right now because their layer of surface cold air is a lot thinner than locations further east. This is where the elevation is hurting them.

 

[Stormsfury]

39 Goose Creek. Temperatures running 2 to 5 degrees lower than modeled.

 

[a_gilmore88]

19.9° and freezing rain mixing with sleet in southern Rowan County, NC. Not good!

 

[Flo]

Had a few rain drops

 

[Mitch West]

Officially getting freezing drizzle here in Lexington SC 31.8°

 

[Xlhunter3]

Snow/Sleet Mix North Durham. 20/-1

 

[BufordWX]

Temperature dropping in a hurry now. 36.5/28.2.

35.6/27.5
Next batch of rain will likely take us under.

 

[Dunkman]

Definitely some ZR mixing in here. Cars already have a nice glaze on them. Really not good.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Are you seeing it wet on railings freezing yet? You know like traditional feezing rain or are the droplets freezing before they hit?

Yes, my handrails going up the steps are coated.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Boy. I set a benchmark of if it’s still sleeting at 8am we may be ok here… I mean if we don’t ever sleet? Bad news. Hoping for QPF bust now

 

[Arcc]

Rain/sprinkle mix near Goodwater.

 

[SD]

We are so back and losing snow soundings

 

[thunderwolf]

GSO 0Z Sounding

Looks like snow, for now...

But you can see the strong southerly wind at about 850 mb, so that layer will quickly warm over the next several hours. Northeast winds at the surface will continue to supply cold air. Saturation looks good throughout the column, other than surface for now. Forecast looks good for a few hours of sleet followed by several hours of freezing rain/freezing drizzle.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

The good news is down to just spitting a little bit of sleet at the moment.

 

[Windergawx]

35 here light rain

 

[DopplerWx]

Latest hrrr has clt at .1 -.15” qpf tomorrow at 9am, winner of the low qpf saves us. Still light sleet here

 

[Tagat]

45/45 Light rain imby

 

[shicks]

38 here in Peachtree corners. Dropped quite a few in the last few hours

 

[BullCityWx]

NC Foothills are at a disadvantage right now because their layer of surface cold air is a lot thinner than locations further east. This is where the elevation is hurting them.

I hadn’t even considered that. Dang.

 

[weatherfide]

40.5/32.9, every time a rain shower comes through, it drops a few degrees...but only recorded. .03" so far. That's efficient cooling!

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Question, why am I not snowing? The map SD posted it's well below freezing @850, @925, and 19 degrees??

 

[thunderwolf]

Here at the coast, we are already above freezing at 850 mb. We did just have some precip reach the surface as freezing rain. Still holding onto northerly winds so any precip we get over the next few hours would be freezing rain and could cause some minor issues. But radar looks pretty sparse downstream. Winds will switch soon and we will rise above freezing overnight with little to no impacts.

 

[iGRXY]

I don't like the reports of mostly rain over the upstate. We were hoping to start as sleet. I haven't looked at mesoscale but obviously we haven't cooled enough for sleet or the warm nose is already too warm. If everything we get is zr we are going to get slammed.

925’s are very cold but the warm nose and WAA is going to be deeper and warmer which is what I tried to say multiple times the last couple of days.

 

[Heelyes]

21/-3

 

[BullCityWx]

Question, why am I not snowing? The map SD posted it's well below freezing @850, @925, and 19 degrees??

someone just posited that elevation is hurting you guys and it makes sense

 

[SouthSideYankee]

Snow/sleet just started here in Durham

 

[RBR71]

Light snow for now

 

[Gibby]

Already have accumulating sleet on roads. Driveway felt a bit slick walking on

 

[BIG FROSTY]

someone just posited that elevation is hurting you guys and it makes sense

I saw that after I had already posted the question. That's interesting.

 

[BullCityWx]

I saw that after I had already posted the question. That's interesting.

I hadn’t even considered that. Hope y’all switch back soon.

 

[Dunkman]

View attachment 188716
GSO 0Z Sounding

Looks like snow, for now...

But you can see the strong southerly wind at about 850 mb, so that layer will quickly warm over the next several hours. Northeast winds at the surface will continue to supply cold air. Saturation looks good throughout the column, other than surface for now. Forecast looks good for a few hours of sleet followed by several hours of freezing rain/freezing drizzle.

About 5 miles south of the airport and I have a 75/25 IP/ZR mix.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Light snow for now

Congratulations. I. You're always blowing snow up there...

 

[jackendrickwx]

29/11 and dry for now

 

[aturner1979]

13F with light to moderate snow. About 1 1/2 inches on the ground so far.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SD]

Congratulations. I. You're always blowing snow up there...

Id wonder if the saturation is under the dgz right now.