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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

WEATHERBOYROY said:
The Lp forming in the GOM this Sunday night and Monday the 13th, is trending wetter and farther north. Temps are close at ground and 850. Maybe a surprise?
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Few GEFS members say more rain north but thermals may be too warm if anything. Not betting on this as much as the MLK system.

1736527616004.png
 
SASQUATCH said:
Gotta give you props, Piper...you stuck to the central bama story and it hit. Kudos!
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I just really felt like the evap then dynamic cooling would work out with as much precip as it was showing. I think some places around I-20 scored in the 3-4" range with a crust of sleet on top and bottom. Good times!
 
Hate to say it but it's true. This next pattern coming up SCREAMS another Southern plains to Mid South Winter storm

Dallas
Little Rock
Memphis

Only hope for us is if we can maybe pull a reversal of 2021 & maybe the trough trends further East instead of further West like Feb 2021.ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7331200.pnggfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-7331200.pngcmc-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-7331200.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-uv200_stream-7331200.png
 
Mitch West said:
Hate to say it but it's true. This next pattern coming up SCREAMS another Southern plains to Mid South Winter storm

Dallas
Little Rock
Memphis

Only hope for us is if we can maybe pull a reversal of 2021 & maybe the trough trends further East instead of further West like Feb 2021.View attachment 162531View attachment 162532View attachment 162533View attachment 162534
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That's a terrible pattern IMO....unless we can get a super CAD to keep us cold enough for a frozen Miller B cutter.
 
SnowNiner said:
That's a terrible pattern IMO....unless we can get a super CAD to keep us cold enough for a frozen Miller B cutter.
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Yeh that's what I am saying. Unless placement changes, that is not a good look for us. It would seem that MJO phase would favor it show us some love also though.
 
I think it was caught in between. Awful low track. I would say what could have been but we didn’t even have a decent high pressure feed. Wasn’t really our bread and butter and I got fooled again. The blocking is the only reason we saw snow which is cool we can still do that
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I think it was caught in between. Awful low track. I would say what could have been but we didn’t even have a decent high pressure feed. Wasn’t really our bread and butter and I got fooled again. The blocking is the only reason we saw snow which is cool we can still do that
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I mean think about that a sec. It’s in the mid 20s, low teens dew points, soil temps, been cold as can be for a Carolina storm, weak as crap storm with barely any precipitation, no phase, positive tilt crap…..and the warm nose cut us up like a hot knife through butter. No CAD no dice.
 
MBell said:
What is this mention of freezing rain possible Sunday Night from FFC? A 20% chance popped up in the forecast tonight for Sunday Night.
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What is the "FFC" I keep seeing mentioned in Georgia? Sorry, I've looked and cannot find it or anything tied to weather.
 
MBell said:
What is this mention of freezing rain possible Sunday Night from FFC? A 20% chance popped up in the forecast tonight for Sunday Night.
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Weird. I just noticed that too. What is that all about?

So I went to FFC’s AFD. Read the thing that I didn’t earlier. Because, you know, look out the window. I already read more text than I care to. Long term? Who cares!?

But here it is… read it just now.

Code: 
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 331 PM EST Fri Jan 10 2025

The extended begins with temps in the teen and lower to mid 20s
across north and central GA Sunday morning. Temps do rebound
substantially Sunday with highs expected in the 40s and some lower
50s across central GA. There is a weak wave that develops over the
Central Gulf Sunday and moves NE into SW GA Sunday night. As this
wave pushes into south and central GA we will see some rain and
possible some periods of freezing rain as temps to dip into the
lower 30s. Not expecting much in the way of accumulations or travel
concerns with this as temps get back up into the 40s and 50s Mon
afternoon as it exits the area. As for the rest of the extended
things stay cool and dry through day 7. High temps will be mainly
in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 20s and 30s and some teens in
the North GA mountains.

01

Who knew!?

AFD is a little stale now. Is this still a thing? Haven’t looked. I feel like if I see one more map or model run, I’m going to throw up.

It happened. I finally reached the threshold of over it. In all my years, I’ve never felt this way. This storm has exhausted me that much. Thankfully with a pretty satisfying conclusion for my grateful butt.

Pretty sure that “over it” will last 12 hours (how long I’m about to sleep), but we’ll see.
 
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