EC AI is overrunning event after overrunning event for the western SE meanwhile east of the apps bake 
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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Our winter or at least winter precip is done. This was it. We lucked into a minor winter storm and saw some flakes so we can’t say we haven’t had snow in 3 years anymore. I guess the clock resets and we see how long we can go again.
Looks familiar.
Brent
Member
Here we go again
NCSNOW
Member
Euro op is a full fledged Ice box espeacilly post Jan 20.
Yes yes
Brent
Member
Brent
Member
Usmeagle2005
Member
Best combo you could have at the best time. 
I'm just salty we lost the retrograding Greenland Block that was showing up...this pattern would have been lit with that. But maybe we get a mid south storm, then a quick follow-up one behind it that slides in suppressed flow. In the meantime, get ready for the eye rolls and it ain't ever gonna happens - we do those well
Tokenfreak
Member
Im ready for the next possible system. As with this most recent one I only got a little sleet and freezing rain. I want snow!
Here's the Pac Jet moving equatorward. That encourages more -EPO, whereas a poleward jet encourages +EPO. That piece and the ridging in EAsia are quite good (that one helps to prevent jet retraction to -PNA). It's the +AO/+NAO that could hurt us, though mid south may love it.
What happen to the post from back in the 80s about the southern stream jet and the northern stream jet?? I just jumped in and apologize if I missed it but that used to be huge conversation back in PRIME TIME!! Or has the terminology changed??
This is gonna likely be a painful pattern to watch for us in the immediate Southeast. Pattern just looks like Feb 2021 all over again (minus the intensity I’m sure)
Stormsfury
Member
No. The low actually moved inland a little and brought a swinging gate surge of warm air just inland of Southern GA into Coastal SC for a couple hours. Charleston, SC surged to 56 by 3am. Many locations along the coast went to the 50s before the cold front reversed the bump just as quick
My dad pretends to be impartial about snow but told me last night we really blew it on this one. And we really did. The more I sit and stew on it the more I really start to wonder how long it will be til the next one.
It’s been 3 long years and the best we can do is .5”? It shouldn’t be this hard
At least it still looks brisk later this month
6z gfs and just reading the tea leaves of the 0z cmc are the way this pattern needs to set up going forward if you want to see snow in the carolinas and probably ga. The euro suite loads too much to our west and other than maybe catching a miller B wedge storm it's not great
Eps already has a wedge signature for the storm next weekend. We will probably have a thread for this time frame soon I'd guess a snow threat from like DFW to HSV and into VA the rest of us beg for scraps
tennessee storm
Member
Yeah getting really excited about the pattern for us west part south people around mid month . Memphis to. Nashville
The one thing I will say for the ensembles is that the entire run on all them do keep a good amount of cold air over the northeast and southeast Canada. If we can get a good solid high in place that could set up a good CAD miller B storm that seems to be the only way the western half of the Carolinas can really score anymore
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
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I don’t like the looks of the heavy snow potential stays west of the mountains.
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The 0z and 6z GFS and the 0z Euro both have low after low either emerging from the Gulf or forming just offshore, heading northeast. Plenty of cold up in eastern Canada to tap, if we can time up the northern stream correctly. Oz GFS actually shows a couple of hits or close hits.
It's not an ideal pattern, but we can make do with some favorable timing. Miles better than the Apps runner pattern that we'll probably see in a few weeks.
It's not an ideal pattern, but we can make do with some favorable timing. Miles better than the Apps runner pattern that we'll probably see in a few weeks.
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A little wave separation could do it. Best shot would probably be after an apps runner where the front continues to slide southeast towards the Atlantic with a secondary low forming in the gulf along that old boundary.
But if the GFS is even close to correct we are going to be tracking another storm later this week
Great winter so far for our mountains. For today, it just keeps snowing up in Boone.
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They have had the best ski season they've had in probably a decade. I think that's what I heard.Great winter so far for our mountains. For today, it just keeps snowing up in Boone.
King Street Boone NC Webcam - Resort Cams
Located in the heart of downtown Boone, NC, the King Street cam gives a live, streaming view of current happenings and events taking place in the most popular town in the High Country.
Gotta pull a Feb 2021 reversal & steal this pattern from areas to the West like they stole it from us that year.
Yes. Just shy of mid January and sugar has 50” on the season. I can’t recall a season in the last 10 years where they were putting up numbers like this so early.
IDK. There’s a fairly strong signal there for CAD showing on the EPS. That tells me that there’s a good chance that anything that tries to cut would do a Miller B transfer. There’s still gonna be good snowpack to our north and very favorable looking MJO. Also as Grit mentioned it looks as though the Pacific Jet is gonna cooperate for at least a while longer.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This pattern around MLK Day looks brutally cold in the CONUS. Not as certain about here. I’d take my chances with the general look we’re seeing on the models
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Maybe a CAD or overrunning setup? I like how that frontal boundary hangs off the Atlantic and Gulf coast around that timeframe on the GFS
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SnowNiner
Member
Yeah that overall looks like an apps runner footprint to me. But I think it could be possible to get a super CAD where we get a miller B south enough to get mixed precipitation. Probably a lot to get snow out of it.
Just get me enough to give the mountains a good hit. I’m chasing.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Looks wet and the amount of cold we have to work with be TBD, but I’m not mad…
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Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Looks like coldest will be west of the Apps.
Looks wet and the amount of cold we have to work with be TBD, but I’m not mad…
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Solid 3 day January thaw on the euro 
LickWx
Member