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Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat

Thought I saw rain try and mix in as I entered Richmond County but the Blythe status is 33, all snow, dusting too.

Gah this was so close to being very interesting. Now I need to GPS myself to a gas station, or my dad may have my head (I have no clue where I'm going).
Head up US 1. There will be plenty of gas stations l.
 
Thought I saw rain try and mix in as I entered Richmond County but the Blythe status is 33, all snow, dusting too.

Gah this was so close to being very interesting. Now I need to GPS myself to a gas station, or my dad may have my head (I have no clue where I'm going).
You are a true weather chaser! You worry about the weather first and the gas later. This brings back memories of my drives to the North Carolina coast to greet landfalling hurricanes and to the mountains to see snow when I was younger.
 
you know who's friend..... Chat GPT coming with stark realization:

Side-by-Side (Past ~2 Winters)


RegionSnow in 2024–25Snow in 2025–26*
Florida Panhandle / Northern FLHistoric ~8–9+″ (Panhandle) — rareLight dusting only (Panhandle)
Charlotte, NC~1.2″ total (light season)~0″ so far

*2025–26 totals are as of mid-January 2026; Charlotte may have light snow later in the season.




📌 Key Takeaways


  • Florida Panhandle/Northern Florida:
    • 2024–25 had a truly anomalous heavy snow event (~8–9″), uncharacteristic for the region.
    • 2025–26 has seen a trace to an inch +.
  • Charlotte, NC:
    • Snowfall over the past two seasons has been very light, with roughly ~1.2″ in 2024–25 and nearly none in 2025–26 as of now according to official station data.
 
1-1.25” Marianna, FL, just SW of GA/FL/AL corner!

1042 AM SNOW MARIANNA 30.78N 85.24W
01/18/2026 M1.3 INCH JACKSON FL PUBLIC

ABOUT 1 TO 1.25 INCHES OF SNOW MEASURED AS A
FINAL ACCUMULATION.
Nice! That area looked primed to perform based on recent modeling. I think they got hit pretty well from last January’s storm, too. They also got it really bad from Hurricane Michael in 2018. :(

Given they’re only an hour or so from Tallahassee, it’s always fascinated me how much better they do with these systems. Beautiful hill country, too.
 
I did not attempt an exact measurement, but we had somewhere between 0.5 to 1 inch of snow.View attachment 184998
I hope y'all don't get an ice storm during the next couple of weeks with the multiple potential threats coming up. I'd hate to see the damage to those peach trees.
 
It snowed in Greenwood. Just saw video

One of the few straggler showers that are in Downtown Spartanburg I’m under and it’s snowing lol

I can actually believe that. Despite surface temps being in the upper 30s right now, your wet bulb zero heights are actually less than 1500 feet above ground (as analyzed by the HRRR), which would support a rain/snow mix at the surface.

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well. if there is any moisture left; lexington sc should start to mix/possibly change over in the next hour or less but eh.. moisture leaving.. needed heavier rates
 
Good to see those thickness lines finally on the move eastward. Unfortunately, you can also see how NC is getting the shaft by the CAA compared to SC / GA (although we have a lot more time left than SC, on the plus side). The Appalachians giveth, and the Appalachians taketh.
 
Good to see those thickness lines finally on the move eastward. Unfortunately, you can also see how NC is getting the shaft by the CAA compared to SC / GA (although we have a lot more time left than SC, on the plus side).

its not just you guys; even the areas that are snowing in sc, it's light and the moisture is gone. the same's going to happen up that way i'm afraid

a lot was being put on a strong deformation type of band; which is showing signs of possibly trying to get going but honestly, that kicker wave ruined everything too little too late at the tilt
 
its not just you guys; even the areas that are snowing in sc, it's light and the moisture is gone. the same's going to happen up that way i'm afraid

a lot was being put on a strong deformation type of band; which is showing signs of possibly trying to get going but honestly, that kicker wave ruined everything too little too late at the tilt
Yeah, I think that’s really our only hope here and some modeling was suggesting it could happen. If we could get under some heavy returns later thus afternoon for a few hours, that’s our shot. If that doesn’t happen, we just rain or at best get a few hours of Snow TV without accumulation. Seemed to be what NWS RAH was suggesting with their 0.5” forecast to isolated 2” spots with banding.
 
I can actually believe that. Despite surface temps being in the upper 30s right now, your wet bulb zero heights are actually less than 1500 feet above ground (as analyzed by the HRRR), which would support a rain/snow mix at the surface.

View attachment 185004

Hey Webb you know I’m in Wake Forest area so I just got done with Church where is your best guess for the possibility of changing to snow in the area willing to drive about an hour or so thought about Roxboro what are your thoughts?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Hey Webb you know I’m in Wake Forest area so I just got done with Church where is your best guess for the possibility of changing to snow in the area willing to drive about an hour or so thought about Roxboro what are your thoughts?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Might briefly mix w/ snow between 19-21z there. If the surface temps can drop about 3F to ~36F and you maintain at least some steady light-moderate precip, that could work in Roxboro.
 
It looks like it's snowing around Morganton/Hickory with this moisture on the back end based on MPING reports. Maybe we can get something here in S. Charlotte before it moves out, but have been stuck around 41 degrees which probably won't get it done.
 
It looks like it's snowing around Morganton/Hickory with this moisture on the back end based on MPING reports. Maybe we can get something here in S. Charlotte before it moves out, but have been stuck around 41 degrees which probably won't get it done.
Can confirm light snow in the Morganton hickory area.
 
Have to wonder if we could get good rates if we could get some white stuff or at least some mix. 850 mb well below freezing now and even 925 mb just hit 0C here (albeit barely).
Idk its just so relatively warm below 925. The good thing is it looks like some level of CAA is starting across more of our local area. I just don't know if we run out of time
 
Home as of 5 minutes ago. The area of HWY 25 that splits off Hephzibah-McBean Rd was maybe about 50/60% snow, but all rain here (though I may have seen a flake or two try to sneak by less than a mile from the house) and I see no way that's going to change as the radar does look similar to some short-range models I remember seeing.

This was actually the first time I've pulled this kind of stunt. Not sure I would have been doing it if it was 2 degrees colder (granted if it was, it'd have snowed at the house) since I don't know how to drive in ice.

Of course, I type that out and the house has now flipped to snow in the middle of me composing a post. I actually managed to play this perfectly. Got to see the changeover in Wrens and got home for the changeover here.
 
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