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Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat

Yep that and they’re close to the cold high to the west and the cold air didn’t get partially blocked by the mountains like it is in the Carolinas
No doubt overnight, a mesolow type structure causes backing of SFC winds SW to S across SC early in the overnight. It was still 52° at KCHS at midnight.
 
What about this back into NE GA headed towards the upstate? Could be something over next hour or so
 

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Womp

My rule of thumb with these overrunning type events that like to trend north at the last sec is take the warmest model and lean hard in that direction

That seems to have held true again here despite the NAM being cold for once

View attachment 184975
I have learned to never underestimate your ability to nail a forecast. You have done this time and time again here in the Carolinas. Much respect! On to the next one.
 
Biggest winner so far: 3” at Monticello, GA!

0908 AM SNOW MONTICELLO 33.30N 83.68W
01/18/2026 M3.0 INCH JASPER GA BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORT FROM MEDIA OF 3 INCHES OF SNOW IN
MONTICELLO.

Wild stuff. That certainly qualifies as a major snow. Tenille, well east of macon is 33/all snow so that area is going to do very well too.
 
Womp

My rule of thumb with these overrunning type events that like to trend north at the last sec is take the warmest model and lean hard in that direction

That seems to have held true again here despite the NAM being cold for once

View attachment 184975
You are going to rub this in until the last 40F rain drop aren’t you…😂

I admire your relentlessness for central NC pain. ☔
 
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