Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat

[Forevertothee]

Very happy for the Very Deep South. Places in Southern AL, Northern Fl, and S GA have seen A lot more snow than the piedmont of SC and NC. Hopeful our luck changes for the 25th and 28th threats. Florida snow back-to-back years is just incredible.

 

[Webberweather53]

Surface temperature trend in the hrrr, valid a few hours from now.

Lol

 

[RBR71]

One glimmer of hope for mby anyway, is it's already colder than the HRRR says it will be at 3 pm. Main issue it is having is too warm BL, hope that is the case. We shall see

 

[GaWx]

Snow has started in Milledgeville, GA:

8AM:
MILLEDGEVILLE* LGT SNOW 36 34 93 NW7G15 30.10R FOG WCI 30

 

[Brent]

Interstate 10!

 

[RBR71]

Surface temperature trend in the hrrr, valid a few hours from now.

Lol

View attachment 184948

Temp is 39 here and 37 at Henderson now, so is the HRRR saying temps gonna rise? If not than it's output is suspect to me, again we shall see

 

[jrips27]

Starting to accumulate in Warner Robins

 

[Webberweather53]

Temp is 39 here and 37 at Henderson now, so is the HRRR saying temps gonna rise? If not than it's output is suspect to me, again we shall see

I mean the sun is coming up and you’re probably going to get at least daytime heating before the front appears this afternoon

 

[SD]

 

[GaWx]

0815 AM SNOW 3 WNW FLAT ROCK 32.56N 84.91W
01/18/2026 M1.5 INCH MUSCOGEE GA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT ON SOCIAL MEDIA OF 1.5 INCHES
OF ACCUMULATION ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF
COLUMBUS NEAR THE MAPLE RIDGE AREA.

 

[jmills152077]

Troy, AL. Between 1/4 and 1/2 in on elevated surfaces

 

[DavidM]

Starting to accumulate in Warner RobinsView attachment 184951

Brisket and snow make for a great combo at Buc-ee's!

 

[Makeitsnow]

Where in Athens are you? I'm on the west side and have seen zero snowflakes

Im east of you out near comer. I even have the starting of a slushy dusting on the vehicles at 32.9 (my station is 12 feet off the ground). I suppose it has to be that band just east of town. Looks like i missed the best snow to the south of me. Ambient network shows 32s and 33s east of town. Very sharp cutoff.

 

[Webberweather53]

The cold front is still over the western half of the Piedmont in NC right now.

It will be a minute before the cold advection really ramps up, of course we’re going to be fighting against some midday heating too.

Even those few degrees you get from this happening in the daytime can be all the difference when the thermals are so marginal to start with

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I measured 1/2” as of 8:20

 

[Brent9]

Just finally got into the 30s in York county sc, SW of Charlotte

 

[EastmanGAWX]

I’m still just experiencing a very cold hard rain here in Eastman, but normally accumulating snow in Warner Robins translates to this area under most circumstances.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Crazy. Once again my parents were that close and missed it

Just like last year in the same direction!!

Yeah.. don’t rub it in.. I got brown grass this morning…

 

[Webberweather53]

Just about everyone is in the lower to even middle 40s this morning over central and eastern NC. You gotta go basically back to near the Triad and Charlotte to find more widespread sub 40F temps.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

that just flipped on radar. Milledgeville to Athens

 

[El Kabong]

I’m still just experiencing a very cold hard rain here in Eastman, but normally accumulating snow in Warner Robins translates to this area under most circumstances.

Hopefully it won't be too much longer. When the changeover happened here it didn't take long for it to go from mixed precipitation to all snow. Still moderate snow here with the ground pretty much covered. Definitely a beautiful scene with a wet snow that's sticking to everything.

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Just about everyone is in the lower to even middle 40s this morning over central and eastern NC. You gotta go basically back to near the Triad and Charlotte to find more widespread sub 40F temps.


View attachment 184955

Can't say you didn't warn us days ago. We knew we would be fighting temperature issues. This should come as no surprise to anyone.

 

[Webberweather53]

Can't say you didn't warn us days ago. We knew we would be fighting temperature issues. This should come as no surprise to anyone.

Still could sneak a few wet flakes here or there but yea. The temps back over the Triad and Va border look more doable to dynamically cool to changeover to a mix but even that isn’t amazing

 

[Snowflowxxl]

All dry here as expected. Parents who live 45 minutes SE of Atlanta have an inch or so

 

[weather nerd]

meh, looking like cold chase moisture for cae but might see some flakes try i guess.. as the precip is ending lol

 

[GaWx]

1.5” in Thomaston, GA!

0828 AM SNOW THOMASTON 32.89N 84.33W
01/18/2026 M1.5 INCH UPSON GA BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORT OF 1.5 INCH OF SNOW IN THOMASTON.

 

[Brent9]

Still could sneak a few wet flakes here or there but yea. The temps back over the Triad and Va border look more doable to dynamically cool to changeover to a mix but even that isn’t amazing

Any hope in the upstate, York county area ?

 

[Webberweather53]

Any hope in the upstate, York county area ?

If the mesolow can develop later today and back-build the precip just enough so the cold advection can catch up to it, you might see something?

 

[Arcc]

All dry here as expected. Parents who live 45 minutes SE of Atlanta have an inch or so

Same. I had a gut feeling the cutoff wouldn't be far to my SE and voila, Opelika got snow.

 

[deltadog03]

No doubt the time of day helped GA with this and the CAA at the surface helped for once. lol.

 

[Stormsfury]

850mb temps should begin to crash in the Carolinas, however, it's also generally a death knell scouring moisture. The best 850mb frontogenesis is along the Carolina and SE GA coastal areas.

This required prefect timing of day and moisture combo and it fell in SE AL, Parts of the FL Panhandle and SW GA (the new SE Snowfall Kings).

 

[EastmanGAWX]

I’m finally starting to see some light sleet/snow mixed with the rain.

 

[Makeitsnow]

Where in Athens are you? I'm on the west side and have seen zero snowflakes

athens airport saw some for a while. pretty wild. Meanwhile it's ended here. Overall about what i expected Even though i only got a slushy dusting on the vehicles, it's rare to see a changeover from rain to snow here. Normally it's in reverse and the mountains screw me. I knew that band southeast of here would be close...all i needed was another 10 miles.

an 18, 7:45 am	36	34	93	32	SW	5	10.00	Unknown precipitation	OVC029 	 	29.18	30.05	0.01	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:40 am	36	34	93	31	SW	6	10.00	Unknown precipitation	OVC027 	 	29.18	30.05	0.01	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:35 am	36	34	93	31	SW	6	10.00	Unknown precipitation	OVC025 	 	29.18	30.05	0.01	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:30 am	36	32	87	31	SW	6	10.00	Unknown precipitation	OVC025 	 	29.18	30.05	T	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:25 am	36	32	87	32	WSW	5	10.00	 	OVC024 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:20 am	36	32	87	33	W	3	9.00	Unknown precipitation	OVC024 	 	29.17	30.04	T	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:15 am	36	32	87	33	SW	3	9.00	Lt snow	OVC022 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:10 am	37	30	75	33	WSW	6	9.00	Lt snow	OVC022 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:05 am	37	30	75	31	W	8	10.00	Lt snow	OVC022 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 7:00 am	37	30	75	32	WSW	7	10.00	Lt rain	OVC024 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 6:58 am	38	31	76	34	 	5	10.00	Lt rain	OVC024 	 	29.18	30.05	T	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 6:55 am	37	32	81	34	W	5	10.00	Lt rain	OVC026 	 	29.18	30.05	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
Jan 18, 6:51 am	38	33	82	33	 	7	10.00	Lt rain	OVC030 	1018.00	29.18	30.05	T

 

[weather nerd]

850mb temps should begin to crash in the Carolinas, however, it's also generally a death knell scouring moisture. The best 850mb frontogenesis is along the Carolina and SE GA coastal areas.

This required prefect timing of day and moisture combo and it fell in SE AL, Parts of the FL Panhandle and SW GA (the new SE Snowfall Kings).

that heavier band is starting to show itself, but man, what a race/timing issue the further east you are 850s are just now getting to this county, and its still too warm; the 5400 is really starting to settle into the upstate and ga now

 

[diamonddave]

I’m at work but my wife said it’s sleeting at our house in Grovetown

 

[Stormsfury]

No doubt the time of day helped GA with this and the CAA at the surface helped for once. lol.

Dude, great minds think alike lol.
One thing the HRRR showed which might be the only hope for some areas in the Eastern (South) Carolinas was a convective band that may force some momentum drag and might have the only real shot of a mix of rain/snow with heavy rates, otherwise it looks like it's just a close call and another 99% cold chasing the moisture fail.

 

[Round Oak Weather]

1.5 in N Jones County, GA still going

 

[Webberweather53]

No doubt the time of day helped GA with this and the CAA at the surface helped for once. lol.

Yep that and they’re close to the cold high to the west and the cold air didn’t get partially blocked by the mountains like it is in the Carolinas

 

[Stormsfury]

that heavier band is starting to show itself, but man, what a race/timing issue the further east you are 850s are just now getting to this county, and its still too warm; the 5400 is really starting to settle into the upstate and ga now

Just another really close call unless the convective banding overperforms. The 850mb 0° line seems to push hard east thru to the coast by 20z, but we're lagging at the SFC

 

[weather nerd]

Just another really close call unless the convective banding overperforms. The 850mb 0° line seems to push hard east thru to the coast by 20z, but we're lagging at the SFC

2840 is going to try and catch up, but need rates later this morning; time will tell. like you're saying, need 850 to even have flakes live long enough to cool the lower levels anyway