Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Surface temperature trend in the hrrr, valid a few hours from now.
Lol
Lol
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Jan. 17-18, 2026 SE Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter RBR71
- Start date
One glimmer of hope for mby anyway, is it's already colder than the HRRR says it will be at 3 pm. Main issue it is having is too warm BL, hope that is the case. We shall see
Brent
Member
Interstate 10!
Temp is 39 here and 37 at Henderson now, so is the HRRR saying temps gonna rise? If not than it's output is suspect to me, again we shall see
Starting to accumulate in Warner Robins
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I mean the sun is coming up and you’re probably going to get at least daytime heating before the front appears this afternoon
jmills152077
Member
Troy, AL. Between 1/4 and 1/2 in on elevated surfaces 
Brisket and snow make for a great combo at Buc-ee's!
Makeitsnow
Member
Im east of you out near comer. I even have the starting of a slushy dusting on the vehicles at 32.9 (my station is 12 feet off the ground). I suppose it has to be that band just east of town. Looks like i missed the best snow to the south of me. Ambient network shows 32s and 33s east of town. Very sharp cutoff.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The cold front is still over the western half of the Piedmont in NC right now.
It will be a minute before the cold advection really ramps up, of course we’re going to be fighting against some midday heating too.
Even those few degrees you get from this happening in the daytime can be all the difference when the thermals are so marginal to start with
It will be a minute before the cold advection really ramps up, of course we’re going to be fighting against some midday heating too.
Even those few degrees you get from this happening in the daytime can be all the difference when the thermals are so marginal to start with
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I measured 1/2” as of 8:20
EastmanGAWX
Member
I’m still just experiencing a very cold hard rain here in Eastman, but normally accumulating snow in Warner Robins translates to this area under most circumstances.
Psalm 148:8
Member
- Joined
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- 342
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Yeah.. don’t rub it in.. I got brown grass this morning…
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Just about everyone is in the lower to even middle 40s this morning over central and eastern NC. You gotta go basically back to near the Triad and Charlotte to find more widespread sub 40F temps.
that just flipped on radar. Milledgeville to Athens 
Hopefully it won't be too much longer. When the changeover happened here it didn't take long for it to go from mixed precipitation to all snow. Still moderate snow here with the ground pretty much covered. Definitely a beautiful scene with a wet snow that's sticking to everything.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Can't say you didn't warn us days ago. We knew we would be fighting temperature issues. This should come as no surprise to anyone.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Still could sneak a few wet flakes here or there but yea. The temps back over the Triad and Va border look more doable to dynamically cool to changeover to a mix but even that isn’t amazing
Snowflowxxl
Member
All dry here as expected. Parents who live 45 minutes SE of Atlanta have an inch or so
meh, looking like cold chase moisture for cae but might see some flakes try i guess.. as the precip is ending lol
Any hope in the upstate, York county area ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If the mesolow can develop later today and back-build the precip just enough so the cold advection can catch up to it, you might see something?
Same. I had a gut feeling the cutoff wouldn't be far to my SE and voila, Opelika got snow.
No doubt the time of day helped GA with this and the CAA at the surface helped for once. lol.
Stormsfury
Member
850mb temps should begin to crash in the Carolinas, however, it's also generally a death knell scouring moisture. The best 850mb frontogenesis is along the Carolina and SE GA coastal areas.
This required prefect timing of day and moisture combo and it fell in SE AL, Parts of the FL Panhandle and SW GA (the new SE Snowfall Kings).
This required prefect timing of day and moisture combo and it fell in SE AL, Parts of the FL Panhandle and SW GA (the new SE Snowfall Kings).
EastmanGAWX
Member
I’m finally starting to see some light sleet/snow mixed with the rain.
Makeitsnow
Member
athens airport saw some for a while. pretty wild. Meanwhile it's ended here. Overall about what i expected Even though i only got a slushy dusting on the vehicles, it's rare to see a changeover from rain to snow here. Normally it's in reverse and the mountains screw me. I knew that band southeast of here would be close...all i needed was another 10 miles.
Code:
an 18, 7:45 am 36 34 93 32 SW 5 10.00 Unknown precipitation OVC029 29.18 30.05 0.01
Jan 18, 7:40 am 36 34 93 31 SW 6 10.00 Unknown precipitation OVC027 29.18 30.05 0.01
Jan 18, 7:35 am 36 34 93 31 SW 6 10.00 Unknown precipitation OVC025 29.18 30.05 0.01
Jan 18, 7:30 am 36 32 87 31 SW 6 10.00 Unknown precipitation OVC025 29.18 30.05 T
Jan 18, 7:25 am 36 32 87 32 WSW 5 10.00 OVC024 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 7:20 am 36 32 87 33 W 3 9.00 Unknown precipitation OVC024 29.17 30.04 T
Jan 18, 7:15 am 36 32 87 33 SW 3 9.00 Lt snow OVC022 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 7:10 am 37 30 75 33 WSW 6 9.00 Lt snow OVC022 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 7:05 am 37 30 75 31 W 8 10.00 Lt snow OVC022 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 7:00 am 37 30 75 32 WSW 7 10.00 Lt rain OVC024 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 6:58 am 38 31 76 34 5 10.00 Lt rain OVC024 29.18 30.05 T
Jan 18, 6:55 am 37 32 81 34 W 5 10.00 Lt rain OVC026 29.18 30.05
Jan 18, 6:51 am 38 33 82 33 7 10.00 Lt rain OVC030 1018.00 29.18 30.05 T
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that heavier band is starting to show itself, but man, what a race/timing issue the further east you are 850s are just now getting to this county, and its still too warm; the 5400 is really starting to settle into the upstate and ga now
diamonddave
Member
I’m at work but my wife said it’s sleeting at our house in Grovetown
Stormsfury
Member
Dude, great minds think alike lol.
One thing the HRRR showed which might be the only hope for some areas in the Eastern (South) Carolinas was a convective band that may force some momentum drag and might have the only real shot of a mix of rain/snow with heavy rates, otherwise it looks like it's just a close call and another 99% cold chasing the moisture fail.
Round Oak Weather
Member
1.5 in N Jones County, GA still going
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yep that and they’re close to the cold high to the west and the cold air didn’t get partially blocked by the mountains like it is in the Carolinas
Stormsfury
Member
Just another really close call unless the convective banding overperforms. The 850mb 0° line seems to push hard east thru to the coast by 20z, but we're lagging at the SFC
2840 is going to try and catch up, but need rates later this morning; time will tell. like you're saying, need 850 to even have flakes live long enough to cool the lower levels anyway
Stormsfury
Member
No doubt overnight, a mesolow type structure causes backing of SFC winds SW to S across SC early in the overnight. It was still 52° at KCHS at midnight.